How often does Marten Transport move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MRTNNasdaqTrucking (No Local)

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

12.35

+0.30 · +2.49%

post 12.35 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open12.06Volume634,685Mkt cap$984.0MP/E77.19EPS0.16Div yield1.99%

Day12.03 – 12.35100%52-wk9.18 – 18.3435%

MRTN

Marten Transport Ltd

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 26

after close · in 83 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.23%

vs ±8.2% implied · ×0.51

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

7dWMT · customerFTC demands Walmart, Uber, Delta and others hand over data on personalized pricing: Reuters

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+17.44%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

230 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

MRTN weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Marten Transport (MRTN) is expected to report on Jan 26 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.7%
avg realized: ±3.0%

Jan 27 '25Jan 27 '25confirmed±7.9%▼−3.74%×0.47

Apr 16 '25Apr 16 '25confirmed±7.9%▼−3.39%×0.43

Jul 16 '25Jul 16 '25confirmed±5.3%▲+0.15%×0.03

Q3 FY25Oct 23 '25confirmed±7.7%▼−9.07%×1.19

Jan 27 '26Jan 27 '26confirmed±6.1%0.00%×0.00

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±9.0%▼−0.20%×0.02

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±9.1%▼−3.44%×0.38

Oct 22 '26Oct 22 '26confirmed±8.2%▼−4.23%×0.51

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±8.2%▼−4.23%×0.51

Q2 FY26±9.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.57OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3870%Nov 2016d0.596520%0.59

105+11%Dec 1844d0.224820%0.22

report · Jan 26 · after close · est.

167+1%Mar 19135d2950%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d3870%6520%0.59

Dec 1844d105+11%4820%0.22

report · Jan 26 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d167+1%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

2.39%as filednet margin · revenue +9.84% QoQ · −2.77% YoY

Revenue

$224M+9.84% QoQ

Gross profit

$66M−32.18% QoQ

29.71% margin

Operating income

$7M+334.42% QoQ

3.09% margin

Pre-tax income

$8M+272.72% QoQ

Net income

$5M+286.32% QoQ

2.39% margin

Cost of revenue

$157M+48.81% QoQ

Operating expenses

$60M−38.24% QoQ

Depreciation $25M

Other operating $20M

SG&A $17M

Tax

$2M+244.53% QoQ

Other income

$721,000+57.77% QoQ

Revenue$224M+9.84%

Gross profit

$66M−32.18%

29.71% margin

Operating income

$7M+334.42%

3.09% margin

Pre-tax income

$8M+272.72%

Net income

$5M+286.32%

2.39% margin

Cost of revenue

$157M+48.81%

Operating expenses

$60M−38.24%

Depreciation $25M

Other operating $20M

SG&A $17M

Other income$721,000+57.77%

Tax$2M+244.53%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.14· ±1.6% vs ±1.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.6%7 of 10×1.14

PPIproducer prices±1.4%5 of 10×1.06

FOMCrate decision±1.4%4 of 24×1.03

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%5 of 10×0.95

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%10 of 19×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%10 of 19×0.77

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.67

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.07 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	0.07	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	0.02	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 23 '25 · confirmed	0.03	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod