What move does the options market price into Monolithic Power Systems's report?

Implied ±21.1%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Monolithic Power Systems move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MPWRNasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1,212.99

+14.18 · +1.18%

post 1,215.00 +0.17%

Closed19:21 ET

Open1,203.15Volume2.1MMkt cap$59.5BP/E73.73EPS16.48Div yield0.62%

Day1,167.20 – 1,255.3254%52-wk827.63 – 1,708.9544%

MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±21.1%implied · straddle

955.531,467.73

spot 1,211.63exp Feb 19ATM strike 1210ATM straddle 301.30IV 57%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 4

after close · in 96 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.07%

vs ±11.3% implied · ×0.09

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.60%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

1,246 managers

Top fund weight

2.93%

MPWR weight · SOXX

N-PORTJun 30 '26

14 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) is expected to report on Feb 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±11.0%
avg realized: ±6.3%

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±12.1%▲+8.98%×0.74

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+5.86%×0.55

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±9.0%▲+10.46%×1.16

Q3 FY25Oct 30 '25confirmed±10.1%▼−7.59%×0.75

Feb 5 '26Feb 5 '26confirmed±9.4%▲+6.39%×0.68

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±10.6%▼−1.92%×0.18

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±14.7%▲+8.35%×0.57

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed±11.3%▲+1.07%×0.09

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Oct '26±11.3%▲+1.07%×0.09

Q2 FY26±14.7%▲+8.35%×0.57

Q1 FY26±10.6%▼−1.92%×0.18

Feb '26±9.4%▲+6.39%×0.68

Q3 FY25±10.1%▼−7.59%×0.75

Jul '25±9.0%▲+10.46%×1.16

2 older reports

May '25±10.6%▲+5.86%×0.55

Feb '25±12.1%▲+8.98%×0.74

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.17OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,711+11%Nov 2020d0.713,800+20%0.71

1,153+1%Dec 1848d1.736660%1.73

2,4530%Jan 1576d1.391,7610%1.39

report · Feb 4 · after close · est.

6230%Feb 19111d5320%

3290%Mar 19139d1.52217+1%1.52

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d2,711+11%3,800+20%0.71

Dec 1848d1,153+1%6660%1.73

Jan 1576d2,4530%1,7610%1.39

report · Feb 4 · after close · est.

Feb 19111d6230%5320%1.17

Mar 19139d3290%217+1%1.52

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±21.1%

Funds 4

SOXX±0.6%

SOXL±0.6%

SMH±0.3%

FTC±0.2%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

26.24%as filednet margin · revenue +21.94% QoQ · +47.56% YoY

Revenue

$981M+21.94% QoQ

Gross profit

$541M+21.57% QoQ

55.18% margin

Operating income

$304M+26.02% QoQ

30.99% margin

Pre-tax income

$322M+30.16% QoQ

Net income

$257M+33.16% QoQ

26.24% margin

Cost of revenue

$440M+22.40% QoQ

Operating expenses

$237M+16.31% QoQ

R&D $119M

SG&A $119M

Tax

$64M+19.41% QoQ

Other income

$18M+195.77% QoQ

Revenue$981M+21.94%

Gross profit

$541M+21.57%

55.18% margin

Operating income

$304M+26.02%

30.99% margin

Pre-tax income

$322M+30.16%

Net income

$257M+33.16%

26.24% margin

Cost of revenue

$440M+22.40%

Operating expenses

$237M+16.31%

R&D $119M

SG&A $119M

Other income$18M+195.77%

Tax$64M+19.41%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.42· ±3.5% vs ±2.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.5%6 of 10×1.42

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%8 of 11×1.23

PPIproducer prices±2.6%5 of 11×1.06

FOMCrate decision±2.3%17 of 25×0.94

GDPgross domestic product±1.9%13 of 20×0.76

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%12 of 20×0.66

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%7 of 12×0.29

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 5.22 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	5.22	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	3.92	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 30 '25 · confirmed	3.71	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod