How often does Motorcar Parts of America move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MPAANasdaqMotor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Motorcar Parts of America Inc (MPAA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

10.55

+0.16 · +1.54%

Regular session15:20 ET

Open10.57Volume85,495Mkt cap$196.9MEPS-0.23

Day10.53 – 10.6913%52-wk9.29 – 18.1214%

MPAA

Motorcar Parts of America Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

before open · in 5 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−8.88%

vs ±22.1% implied · ×0.40

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

42.00%

of MPAA revenue · Largest customer

customerMPAA 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.70%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

108 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

MPAA weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) is expected to report on Nov 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±16.5%
avg realized: ±19.1%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±17.0%▲+14.72%×0.87

Feb 10 '25Feb 10 '25confirmed±14.2%▲+10.61%×0.75

Jun 9 '25Jun 9 '25confirmed±14.7%▼−18.46%×1.25

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±14.2%▲+22.43%×1.58

Q2 FY26Nov 10 '25confirmed±12.3%▼−26.01%×2.12

Q3 FY26Feb 9 '26confirmed±21.7%▼−17.50%×0.80

Q1 FY27Jun 8 '26confirmed±16.1%▲+34.56%×2.15

Aug 10 '26Aug 10 '26confirmed±22.1%▼−8.88%×0.40

quarterimplied−35%0+35%realized×

Aug '26±22.1%▼−8.88%×0.40

Q1 FY27±16.1%▲+34.56%×2.15

Q3 FY26±21.7%▼−17.50%×0.80

Q2 FY26±12.3%▼−26.01%×2.12

Aug '25±14.2%▲+22.43%×1.58

Jun '25±14.7%▼−18.46%×1.25

2 older reports

Feb '25±14.2%▲+10.61%×0.75

Nov '24±17.0%▲+14.72%×0.87

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Oct 19 close

39.46OI · 1 expiry · Oct 19 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5130%Mar 19135d130%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Mar 19135d5130%130%39.46

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

−7.99%as filednet margin · revenue −20.85% QoQ · −10.80% YoY

Revenue$168M−20.85%

Gross profit$27M16.17%−46.06%

Operating income$4M2.10%−83.23%

Pre-tax income−$10M−183.44%

Net income−$13M−7.99%−238.02%

Cost of revenue$141M−13.00%

Operating expenses$24M−19.36%

Tax$3M+45.03%

Other expense−$14M−50.70%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.12· ±3.0% vs ±2.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%5 of 10×1.12

FOMCrate decision±2.9%9 of 24×1.07

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%5 of 19×0.86

PPIproducer prices±2.3%4 of 10×0.84

NFPjobs report±2.0%5 of 10×0.74

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%4 of 12×0.71

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%4 of 19×0.71

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.71 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Jun 8 '26 · confirmed	-0.71	—
Q4 FY26	—	0.49	—
Q3 FY26	Feb 9 '26 · confirmed	0.09	—
Q2 FY26	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.11	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod