MLINYSERolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals

Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

54.56

−1.22 · −2.18%

post 54.56 −0.01%

Closed16:00 ET

Open55.00Volume1.9MMkt cap$11.9BP/E13.71EPS3.98Div yield1.19%

Day54.41 – 55.0125%52-wk51.44 – 70.9216%

MLI

Mueller Industries Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 2

before open · in 94 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−6.59%

vs ±7.0% implied · ×0.94

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 20 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.66%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

742 managers

Top fund weight

0.37%

MLI weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Mueller Industries (MLI) is expected to report on Feb 2 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 21 '26confirmed—▲+1.24%—

Q3 FY26Oct 20 '26confirmed±7.0%▼−6.59%×0.94

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.0%▼−6.59%×0.94

Q2 FY26—▲+1.24%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 19 close

1.21OI · 3 expiries · Oct 19 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

115+4%Nov 2020d0.138910%0.13

4440%Dec 1848d0.431,0320%0.43

report · Feb 2 · before open · est.

9100%Mar 19139d749+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d115+4%8910%0.13

Dec 1848d4440%1,0320%0.43

report · Feb 2 · before open · est.

Mar 19139d9100%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

15.81%as filednet margin · revenue −0.65% QoQ · +31.62% YoY

Revenue

$1.4B−0.65% QoQ

Gross profit

$361M−8.58% QoQ

25.48% margin

Operating income

$282M−9.16% QoQ

19.85% margin

Pre-tax income

$299M−8.28% QoQ

Net income

$224M−10.38% QoQ

15.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+2.38% QoQ

Operating expenses

$80M−6.45% QoQ

SG&A $63M

Depreciation $21M

Tax

$77M−7.56% QoQ

Other income

$18M+8.62% QoQ

Revenue$1.4B−0.65%

Gross profit

$361M−8.58%

25.48% margin

Operating income

$282M−9.16%

19.85% margin

Pre-tax income

$299M−8.28%

Net income

$224M−10.38%

15.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+2.38%

Operating expenses

$80M−6.45%

SG&A $63M

Depreciation $21M

Other income$18M+8.62%

Tax$77M−7.56%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 26 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.16· ±1.7% vs ±1.4% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.7%4 of 11×1.16

CPROFcorporate profits±1.6%6 of 12×1.14

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%10 of 19×1.04

NFPjobs report±1.4%6 of 10×0.99

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%10 of 19×0.97

FOMCrate decision±1.3%13 of 24×0.87

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%6 of 11×0.74

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 20 '26 · confirmed	1.00	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 21 '26 · confirmed	1.13	—
Q1 FY26	—	2.16	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod