MKLNYSEFire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1,867.95

Closed17:55 ET

Open1,876.53Volume65,731Mkt cap$22.9BP/E12.76

Day1,867.95 – 1,889.000%52-wk1,704.17 – 2,207.5933%

MKL

Markel Group Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 3

after close · in 94 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

—

Largest filed tie

91.00%

of Hagerty revenue

supplierHGTY 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.73%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

927 managers

Top fund weight

0.09%

MKL weight · VTV

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Markel (MKL) is expected to report on Feb 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

No reported quarters.

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 20 close

0.13OI · 4 expiries · Oct 20 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

112+14%Nov 2019d0.58192+6%0.58

0—Dec 1847d0.0010%0.00

650%Jan 1575d0.163960%0.16

report · Feb 3 · after close · est.

100%Apr 16166d80+3%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d112+14%192+6%0.58

Dec 1847d0—10%0.00

Jan 1575d650%3960%0.16

report · Feb 3 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

6.58%as filednet margin · revenue +3.56% QoQ · +5.75% YoY

Revenue$4.1B+3.56%

Pre-tax income$347M−77.16%

Net income$270M6.58%−77.21%

Tax$77M−76.98%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.28· ±1.2% vs ±0.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.2%5 of 10×1.28

FOMCrate decision±1.0%8 of 24×1.07

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%10 of 20×1.07

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%10 of 20×1.04

PPIproducer prices±0.8%6 of 11×0.91

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%5 of 11×0.71

CPROFcorporate profits±0.6%6 of 12×0.70

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±0.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 18.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	18.15	—
Q2 FY26	—	92.76	—
Q1 FY26	—	-18.90	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod