How often does M/I Homes move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MHONYSEOperative Builders

M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

128.96

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open132.76Volume402,421Mkt cap$3.2BP/E11.96EPS10.78

Day128.96 – 132.760%52-wk113.40 – 163.6631%

MHO

M/I Homes, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 27

before open · in 84 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−8.08%

vs ±7.8% implied · ×1.04

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 21 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.46%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

351 managers

Top fund weight

0.13%

MHO weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

M/I Homes (MHO) is expected to report on Jan 27 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.2%
avg realized: ±3.9%

Jan 29 '25Jan 29 '25confirmed±6.6%▼−5.04%×0.77

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±6.3%▼−3.60%×0.57

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+0.49%×0.08

Oct 22 '25Oct 22 '25confirmed±8.3%▼−6.14%×0.74

Jan 28 '26Jan 28 '26confirmed±7.7%▲+2.92%×0.38

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±8.0%▲+3.69%×0.46

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±6.8%▲+1.54%×0.23

Q3 FY26Oct 21 '26confirmed±7.8%▼−8.08%×1.04

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.8%▼−8.08%×1.04

Q2 FY26±6.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 20 close

1.71OI · 4 expiries · Oct 20 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

11+10%Nov 2016d0.10115+1%0.10

60%Dec 1844d2.003+200%2.00

200%Jan 1572d0.028880%0.02

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

120%Apr 16163d70%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d11+10%115+1%0.10

Dec 1844d60%3+200%2.00

Jan 1572d200%8880%0.02

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

6.18%as filednet margin · revenue −4.92% YoY

Revenue

$1.1B

Gross profit

$229M+127.69% QoQ

21.30% margin

Operating income

$87M+109.03% QoQ

8.07% margin

Pre-tax income

$87M+109.03% QoQ

Net income

$67M+106.74% QoQ

6.18% margin

Cost of revenue

$847M+2.31% QoQ

Operating expenses

$142M+6.04% QoQ

SG&A $141M

Other operating $1M

Tax

$20M−20.29% QoQ

Revenue$1.1B

Gross profit

$229M+127.69%

21.30% margin

Operating income

$87M+109.03%

8.07% margin

Pre-tax income

$87M+109.03%

Net income

$67M+106.74%

6.18% margin

Cost of revenue

$847M+2.31%

Operating expenses

$142M+6.04%

SG&A $141M

Other operating $1M

Tax$20M−20.29%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.51· ±2.6% vs ±1.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.6%14 of 24×1.51

PPIproducer prices±1.8%5 of 10×1.04

NFPjobs report±1.6%5 of 10×0.90

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%4 of 10×0.76

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%9 of 19×0.67

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%9 of 19×0.60

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.49

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.56 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 21 '26 · confirmed	2.56	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	3.02	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	2.55	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod