How often does Mcgrath Rentcorp move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MGRCNasdaqServices-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

130.15

−2.77 · −2.08%

Regular session11:05 ET

Open133.50Volume4.7MMkt cap$3.2BP/E20.02EPS6.50Div yield1.48%

Day130.12 – 133.701%52-wk93.37 – 134.0990%

MGRC

Mcgrath Rentcorp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 24

after close · in 112 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.69%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

25.00%

of MGRC revenue · Public school districts

customerMGRC 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.97%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

272 managers

Top fund weight

0.09%

MGRC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) is expected to report on Feb 24 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.0%
avg realized: ±3.8%

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±13.1%▲+4.13%×0.32

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±15.5%▼−0.62%×0.04

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±13.6%▲+7.36%×0.54

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±13.7%▼−4.88%×0.36

Feb 25 '26Feb 25 '26confirmed±14.2%▼−0.66%×0.05

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±13.7%▼−6.94%×0.51

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±14.2%▼−1.71%×0.12

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed—▲+0.69%—

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+0.69%—

Q2 FY26±14.2%▼−1.71%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

160%Dec 1844d—0——

report · Feb 24 · after close · est.

0—Mar 19135d10%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1844d160%0——

report · Feb 24 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d0—10%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

17.77%as filednet margin · revenue +24.19% QoQ · +7.08% YoY

Revenue

$275M+24.19% QoQ

Gross profit

$131M+21.28% QoQ

47.66% margin

Operating income

$74M+38.76% QoQ

26.93% margin

Pre-tax income

$66M+42.99% QoQ

Net income

$49M+44.94% QoQ

17.77% margin

Cost of revenue

$144M+26.97% QoQ

Operating expenses

$57M+4.23% QoQ

Other expense

$8M

Tax

$17M+37.74% QoQ

Revenue$275M+24.19%

Gross profit

$131M+21.28%

47.66% margin

Operating income

$74M+38.76%

26.93% margin

Pre-tax income

$66M+42.99%

Net income

$49M+44.94%

17.77% margin

Cost of revenue

$144M+26.97%

Operating expenses

$57M+4.23%

Other expense

$8M

Tax$17M+37.74%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 11:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.44· ±1.7% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.7%10 of 24×1.44

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.4%4 of 19×1.16

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%5 of 19×1.03

NFPjobs report±1.1%3 of 10×0.88

PPIproducer prices±1.0%5 of 10×0.80

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.74

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%6 of 10×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	2.00	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	1.37	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	1.10	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod