How often does MGM Resorts International move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MGMNYSEHotels & Motels

MGM Resorts International (MGM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

29.95

+1.12 · +3.89%

post 29.93 −0.07%

Closed16:07 ET

Open28.91Volume9.9MMkt cap$7.6BP/E11.25EPS2.66

Day28.67 – 29.9598%52-wk26.71 – 51.5913%

MGM

MGM Resorts International

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 4

after close · in 95 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+5.72%

vs ±7.8% implied · ×0.73

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

31dMYPS · customerMYPS trading halt (T3) · resumed 09:00 ET

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.48%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

666 managers

Top fund weight

0.23%

MGM weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

MGM Resorts International (MGM) is expected to report on Feb 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.2%
avg realized: ±4.4%

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±6.3%▲+17.46%×2.78

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±6.8%▼−1.91%×0.28

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±6.2%▼−3.78%×0.61

Oct 29 '25Oct 29 '25confirmed±5.5%▼−1.57%×0.29

Feb 5 '26Feb 5 '26confirmed±4.3%▲+3.34%×0.78

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±5.4%▼−0.84%×0.16

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±7.1%▼−0.37%×0.05

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±7.8%▲+5.72%×0.73

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.8%▲+5.72%×0.73

Q2 FY26±7.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

2.47OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

13,265+43%Nov 2019d0.6121,911+55%0.61

16,088+5%Dec 1847d0.3941,559+6%0.39

18,856+9%Jan 1575d0.5335,433−19%0.53

report · Feb 4 · after close · est.

27,726+16%Mar 19138d11,213+5%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d13,265+43%21,911+55%0.61

Dec 1847d16,088+5%41,559+6%0.39

Jan 1575d18,856+9%35,433−19%0.53

report · Feb 4 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

0.93%as filednet margin · revenue −5.37% QoQ · −0.91% YoY

Revenue

$4.2B−5.37% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.7B−12.42% QoQ

41.16% margin

Operating income

$119M−76.43% QoQ

2.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$22M−94.71% QoQ

Net income

$39M−87.85% QoQ

0.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.5B+0.27% QoQ

Operating expenses

$1.6B+9.43% QoQ

SG&A $1.4B

Depreciation $276M

Other operating $8M

Other expense

$97M

Tax benefit

$17M

Revenue$4.2B−5.37%

Gross profit

$1.7B−12.42%

41.16% margin

Operating income

$119M−76.43%

2.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$22M−94.71%

Net income

$39M−87.85%

0.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.5B+0.27%

Operating expenses

$1.6B+9.43%

SG&A $1.4B

Depreciation $276M

Other operating $8M

Other expense

$97M

Tax benefit$17M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×0.89· ±1.5% vs ±1.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.5%3 of 10×0.89

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	-0.07	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	1.11	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	0.48	—

MGM Resorts International (MGM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Implied vs realized

Implied vs realized

Positioning

Positioning

Linked exposure

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

Revenue flow

Intraday

Intraday

Event sensitivity

Implied vs realized

Event sensitivity

Earnings history

Methodology

Positioning

Linked exposure

MGM Resorts International (MGM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Intraday

Revenue flow