How often does MGE Energy move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MGEENasdaqElectric, Gas & Sanitary Services

MGE Energy Inc (MGEE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

76.94

+3.01 · +4.07%

Regular session10:53 ET

Open75.91Volume214,818Mkt cap$2.8BP/E26.77Div yield2.61%

Day75.90 – 76.94100%52-wk68.01 – 84.7453%

MGEE

MGE Energy Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 23

after close · in 111 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

before open

confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+12.80%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

334 managers

Top fund weight

0.10%

MGEE weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

MGE Energy (MGEE) is expected to report on Feb 23 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.6%
avg realized: ±1.7%

Nov 6 '24Nov 6 '24confirmed±7.5%▲+7.17%×0.96

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±6.9%▲+1.21%×0.17

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±6.5%▲+0.74%×0.11

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±4.1%▼−0.82%×0.20

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±3.8%▲+1.42%×0.37

Feb 24 '26Feb 24 '26confirmed±7.7%▼−1.21%×0.16

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±3.2%▲+0.80%×0.25

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±5.2%▲+0.38%×0.07

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±5.2%▲+0.38%×0.07

Q1 FY26±3.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Aug 28 close

0.17OI · 2 expiries · Aug 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

20%Nov 2016d120%

0—Feb 19107d—0−100%—

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d20%120%0.17

Feb 19107d0—0−100%—

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

29.60%as filednet margin · revenue +18.12% QoQ · +8.38% YoY

Revenue

$190M+18.12% QoQ

Gross profit

$87M+41.92% QoQ

45.90% margin

Operating income

$58M+77.98% QoQ

30.51% margin

Pre-tax income

$66M+74.71% QoQ

Net income

$56M+68.97% QoQ

29.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$103M+3.40% QoQ

Operating expenses

$29M+1.25% QoQ

Tax

$9M+119.44% QoQ

Other income

$8M+53.36% QoQ

Revenue$190M+18.12%

Gross profit

$87M+41.92%

45.90% margin

Operating income

$58M+77.98%

30.51% margin

Pre-tax income

$66M+74.71%

Net income

$56M+68.97%

29.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$103M+3.40%

Operating expenses

$29M+1.25%

Other income$8M+53.36%

Tax$9M+119.44%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.21· ±1.2% vs ±1.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.2%6 of 10×1.21

FOMCrate decision±1.2%11 of 24×1.21

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%6 of 10×1.13

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%9 of 19×1.07

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%6 of 12×0.92

PPIproducer prices±0.8%4 of 10×0.81

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.8%11 of 19×0.77

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.48 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	1.48	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.89	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	1.32	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	1.22	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod