What move does the options market price into Microchip Technology's report?

Implied ±7.4%, either direction.

How often does Microchip Technology move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MCHPNasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

77.35

Closed19:19 ET

Open78.88Volume19.8MMkt cap$42.0BP/E113.75EPS0.68Div yield2.35%

Day75.69 – 79.4544%52-wk47.28 – 104.7552%

MCHP

Microchip Technology Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.4%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±7.2%·×1.03·fair

71.6383.05

straddle ±8.6%

spot 77.34exp Nov 6ATM strike 77ATM straddle 7.82IV 92%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 5 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+13.89%

vs ±6.7% implied · ×2.09

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dCEVA · supplierCeva Unveils Next-Generation NeuPro NPU Portfolio and Announces Expansion into AI Infrastructure
50dARW · customerDoes Arrow Electronics Still Buy Back Enough Stock To Matter?

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+13.81%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,297 managers

Top fund weight

2.17%

MCHP weight · SOXX

N-PORTJun 30 '26

15 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Microchip Technology (MCHP) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.1%
avg realized: ±7.2%

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±6.0%▼−2.30%×0.38

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±6.2%▲+12.60%×2.02

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±5.6%▼−6.57%×1.16

Q2 FY26Nov 6 '25confirmed±7.4%▼−5.17%×0.70

Q3 FY26Jan 5 '26confirmed±3.8%▲+11.65%×3.08

Feb 5 '26Feb 5 '26confirmed±5.2%▼−2.60%×0.50

Q4 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±7.9%▼−2.45%×0.31

Q1 FY27Aug 6 '26confirmed±6.7%▲+13.89%×2.09

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q1 FY27±6.7%▲+13.89%×2.09

Q4 FY26±7.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 9 expiries · Oct 23 close

0.71OI · 9 expiries · Oct 23 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

956+15%Nov 66d1,344+15%

361+18%Nov 1313d0.76478+157%0.76

9,389+55%Nov 2020d1.098,615+92%1.09

120+1900%Nov 2727d2.1456—2.14

0—Dec 434d—0——

4 later expiries

18,576+2%Dec 1848d0.11167,1150%0.11

28,593+2%Jan 1576d1.28

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 66d956+15%1,344+15%0.71

Nov 1313d361+18%478+157%0.76

Nov 2020d9,389+55%8,615+92%1.09

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.6%

Funds 4

SOXX±0.2%

SOXL±0.1%

SMH±0.1%

IGPT±0.0%

Suppliers 1

CEVA±6.2%×0.72

Customers 1

ARW±2.9%×0.34

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

15.48%as filednet margin · revenue +13.23% QoQ · +38.05% YoY

Revenue

$1.5B+13.23% QoQ

Gross profit

$939M+17.42% QoQ

63.24% margin

Operating income

$337M+54.92% QoQ

22.68% margin

Pre-tax income

$290M+76.88% QoQ

Net income

$230M+59.36% QoQ

15.48% margin

Cost of revenue

$546M+6.68% QoQ

Operating expenses

$602M+3.42% QoQ

R&D $309M

SG&A $184M

Other operating $109M

Other expense

$47M

Tax

$60M+205.08% QoQ

Revenue$1.5B+13.23%

Gross profit

$939M+17.42%

63.24% margin

Operating income

$337M+54.92%

22.68% margin

Pre-tax income

$290M+76.88%

Net income

$230M+59.36%

15.48% margin

Cost of revenue

$546M+6.68%

Operating expenses

$602M+3.42%

R&D $309M

SG&A $184M

Other operating $109M

Other expense

$47M

Tax$60M+205.08%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.27· ±4.8% vs ±2.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.8%5 of 10×2.27

PPIproducer prices±2.1%5 of 11×1.00

FOMCrate decision±2.0%13 of 25×0.94

CPIconsumer prices±1.9%6 of 11×0.90

GDPgross domestic product±1.7%8 of 20×0.81

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%9 of 20×0.80

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%4 of 12×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.37 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	0.37	—
Q4 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	0.22	—
Q3 FY26	Jan 5 '26 · confirmed	0.06	—
Q2 FY26	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	0.03	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod