How often does Mechanics Bancorp move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MCHBNasdaqState Commercial Banks

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

15.05

0.00 · +0.02%

post 14.75 −2.01%

After hours15:59 ETdelayed

Open14.81Volume503,474Mkt cap$3.3BP/E11.35EPS1.30Div yield10.37%

Day14.64 – 14.9238%52-wk11.70 – 17.1156%

MCHB

Mechanics Bancorp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 29

before open · in 87 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.81%

vs ±9.0% implied · ×0.20

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−4.92%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

142 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

MCHB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Mechanics Bancorp (MCHB) is expected to report on Jan 29 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

6 reports

0 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±16.5%
avg realized: ±2.2%

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±11.2%▼−1.69%×0.15

Q3 FY25Oct 30 '25confirmed±11.2%▼−1.69%×0.15

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed±30.2%▼−1.19%×0.04

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±10.4%▼−2.73%×0.26

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±27.1%▲+4.10%×0.15

Oct 28 '26Oct 28 '26confirmed±9.0%▼−1.81%×0.20

quarterimplied−35%0+35%realized×

Oct '26±9.0%▼−1.81%×0.20

Q2 FY26±27.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.08OI · 3 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

108+10%Nov 2017d0.17630+2%0.17

0—Dec 1845d—0——

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

100%Feb 19108d125−4%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d108+10%630+2%0.17

Dec 1845d0—0——

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

Feb 19108d10

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

28.71%as filednet margin · revenue +0.45% QoQ · +34.20% YoY

Revenue$201M+0.45%

Pre-tax income$79M+28.11%

Net income$58M28.71%+30.87%

Tax$22M+21.26%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.17· ±2.1% vs ±1.8% · 9 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.1%4 of 9×1.17

PPIproducer prices±1.2%4 of 10×0.68

NFPjobs report±1.1%3 of 10×0.60

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%7 of 11×0.55

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%8 of 11×0.52

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 8×0.51

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%3 of 10×0.35

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.26 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.26	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.20	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 30 '25 · confirmed	0.26	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod