How often does Moelis move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MCNYSEInvestment Advice

Moelis & Co (MC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

62.67

+3.45 · +5.83%

Regular session13:59 ET

Open62.55Volume1.2MMkt cap$4.6BP/E20.68EPS3.03Div yield4.39%

Day62.04 – 62.8875%52-wk50.06 – 75.9249%

Moelis & Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Next report

—

Calendar

Last report

+4.75%

vs ±8.6% implied · ×0.55

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.15%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

395 managers

Top fund weight

0.12%

MC weight · SCHD

N-PORTAug 31 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

No upcoming report date for Moelis (MC).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.1%
avg realized: ±2.3%

Oct 23 '24Oct 23 '24confirmed±9.3%▼−1.88%×0.20

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±6.8%▲+1.91%×0.28

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±10.7%▲+0.88%×0.08

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±6.7%▼−0.90%×0.13

Oct 29 '25Oct 29 '25confirmed±7.7%▼−3.85%×0.50

Feb 4 '26Feb 4 '26confirmed±7.7%▲+1.11%×0.15

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±7.9%▼−2.88%×0.37

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±8.6%▲+4.75%×0.55

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.6%▲+4.75%×0.55

Q1 FY26±7.9%▼−2.88%×0.37

Feb '26±7.7%▲+1.11%×0.15

Oct '25±7.7%▼−3.85%×0.50

Jul '25±6.7%▼−0.90%×0.13

Apr '25±10.7%▲+0.88%×0.08

2 older reports

Feb '25±6.8%▲+1.91%×0.28

Oct '24±9.3%▼−1.88%×0.20

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 2 close

1.03OI · 4 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

415+1%Nov 2016d4040%

16+7%Dec 1844d0.3941+8%0.39

700%Jan 1572d0.125650%0.12

145+1%Apr 16163d1.011440%1.01

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d415+1%4040%1.03

Dec 1844d16+7%41+8%0.39

Jan 1572d700%5650%0.12

Apr 16163d145+1%1440%1.01

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

13.47%as filednet margin · revenue +28.02% QoQ · +12.05% YoY

Revenue

$409M+28.02% QoQ

Gross profit

$409M+28.02% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$73M+79.84% QoQ

17.79% margin

Pre-tax income

$75M+63.09% QoQ

Net income

$55M+30.34% QoQ

13.47% margin

Operating expenses

$337M+20.51% QoQ

Other operating $296M

SG&A $37M

Depreciation $4M

Tax

$20M+421.34% QoQ

Other income

$2M−56.72% QoQ

Revenue$409M+28.02%

Gross profit

$409M+28.02%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$73M+79.84%

17.79% margin

Pre-tax income

$75M+63.09%

Net income

$55M+30.34%

13.47% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$337M+20.51%

Other operating $296M

SG&A $37M

Depreciation $4M

Other income$2M−56.72%

Tax$20M+421.34%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 13:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.52· ±2.6% vs ±1.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.6%6 of 10×1.52

FOMCrate decision±2.3%11 of 24×1.34

NFPjobs report±1.8%3 of 10×1.08

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%6 of 10×1.00

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.4%11 of 19×0.83

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%12 of 19×0.78

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%7 of 12×0.76

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.62 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.62	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	0.48	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod