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MBI as of Oct 31 · 18:11 ET
MBINYSESurety Insurance

Mbia Inc · Brief

Next report

3 days

Nov 3 · after closeest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
4 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±10.5%
avg realized
±7.8%
Nov 7 '24±6.2%▲+6.65%×1.07
Feb 27 '25±9.7%▼−13.53%×1.40
May 8 '25±10.8%▼−11.34%×1.05
Aug 6 '25±13.3%▼−4.39%×0.33
Q3 FY25±11.7%▲+9.29%×0.79
Q1 FY26±12.8%▲+3.31%×0.26
May 7 '26±10.0%▼−10.64%×1.07
Q2 FY26±9.8%▼−3.22%×0.33
quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×
Q2 FY26±9.8%▼−3.22%×0.33
May '26±10.0%▼−10.64%×1.07
Q1 FY26±12.8%▲+3.31%×0.26
Q3 FY25±11.7%▲+9.29%×0.79
Aug '25±13.3%▼−4.39%×0.33
May '25±10.8%▼−11.34%×1.05
2 older reports
Feb '25±9.7%▼−13.53%×1.40
Nov '24±6.2%▲+6.65%×1.07
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2

+16.29%increase in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers this quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
129managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

10 of 23of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
0.01%of iShares Russell 2000 ETF's assets, the largest tracked-fund weightN-PORT · Jun 30 '26
AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

MBI report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±22.0% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.