MATNasdaqDolls & Stuffed Toys

Mattel Inc (MAT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

15.60

+0.03 · +0.19%

Regular session09:49 ET

Open15.70Volume6.2MMkt cap$4.4BP/E11.47EPS1.36

Day15.60 – 15.700%52-wk12.40 – 22.4832%

MAT

Mattel Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

News

Next report

Last report

−2.69%

vs ±9.4% implied · ×0.28

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

9hAMZN · customerKyndryl Uses Agentic AI to Accelerate Enterprise Modernization with AWS
1dDIS · supplierDisney plans several thousand layoffs, asks some managers to cut costs by up to 20%
2dTGT · customerBaked by Melissa enters Target with first at-home cupcake mix

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.75%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

404 managers

Top fund weight

0.11%

MAT weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

No upcoming report date for Mattel (MAT). No implied move.

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±9.4%▼−2.69%×0.28

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.4%▼−2.69%×0.28

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 6 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.30OI · 6 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

11,176+9%Nov 2015d36,7060%

15,739+1%Dec 1843d0.3841,2130%0.38

56,5190%Jan 1571d0.42135,7300%0.42

4,0060%Feb 19106d0.567,1410%0.56

14,2460%Mar 19134d2.884,9440%2.88

1,328+5%Apr 16162d1.071,241+149%1.07

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d11,176+9%36,7060%0.30

Dec 1843d15,739+1%41,2130%0.38

Jan 1571d56,5190%135,7300%0.42

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−1.62%as filednet margin · revenue +30.52% QoQ · +10.48% YoY

Revenue$1.1B+30.52%

Gross profit$542M48.17%+40.16%

Operating income$11M0.97%+110.59%

Pre-tax income−$18M−171.99%

Net income−$18M−1.62%−129.85%

Cost of revenue$583M+22.68%

Operating expenses$531M+8.54%

Tax$228,000+100.70%

Other expense−$29M−122.61%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.68· ±4.1% vs ±1.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.1%5 of 10×2.68

FOMCrate decision±1.7%11 of 24×1.15

PPIproducer prices±1.5%5 of 10×0.98

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%7 of 10×0.92

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%4 of 12×0.81

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%6 of 19×0.76

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%6 of 19×0.72

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.06 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.06	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.20	—
Q3 FY25	—	0.88	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod