How often does Lightbridge move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

LTBRNasdaqIndustrial Inorganic Chemicals

Lightbridge Corp (LTBR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

4.79

+0.14 · +3.01%

post 4.79 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open4.60Volume1.2MMkt cap$174.2M

Day4.60 – 4.8869%52-wk4.50 – 27.351%

LTBR

Lightbridge Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 24

after close · in 113 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−8.46%

vs ±16.7% implied · ×0.51

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 2 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.16%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

129 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

LTBR weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Lightbridge (LTBR) is expected to report on Feb 24 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±18.2%
avg realized: ±10.1%

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±25.7%▲+1.32%×0.05

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed±12.7%▲+14.63%×1.15

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±14.4%▲+26.74%×1.86

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±19.8%▼−22.42%×1.13

Feb 25 '26Feb 25 '26confirmed±21.6%▲+0.65%×0.03

Q1 FY26Apr 27 '26confirmed±16.4%▼−4.49%×0.27

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±18.4%▲+2.12%×0.12

Nov 2 '26Nov 2 '26confirmed±16.7%▼−8.46%×0.51

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Nov '26±16.7%▼−8.46%×0.51

Q2 FY26±18.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.15OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

444−1%Nov 2017d3,005+4%

1,3590%Jan 1573d0.314,4000%0.31

4370%Feb 19108d1.34326+1%1.34

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d444−1%3,005+4%0.15

Jan 1573d1,3590%4,4000%0.31

Feb 19108d4370%326+1%1.34

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.01· ±5.0% vs ±5.0% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±5.0%8 of 19×1.01

PPIproducer prices±4.8%3 of 10×0.97

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.5%8 of 19×0.91

FOMCrate decision±4.1%12 of 24×0.83

NFPjobs report±3.9%5 of 10×0.78

CPIconsumer prices±2.9%5 of 10×0.59

CPROFcorporate profits±2.9%3 of 12×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±5.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.18 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.18	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 27 '26 · confirmed	-0.20	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	-0.16	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod