How often does Lionsgate Studios move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

LIONServices-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production

Lionsgate Studios Holding Corp. (LION) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

14.23

+1.67 · +13.30%

post 14.23 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open12.90Volume2.7MMkt cap$3.7BEPS-0.06

Day12.61 – 14.23100%52-wk6.47 – 16.7076%

LION

Lionsgate Studios Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 4

after close · in 90 days

est.Q3 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 5

after close

confirmedQ2 FY27Nov 5 close

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

18.00%

of LION revenue · Amazon.com

customerLION 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.61%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

294 managers

Top fund weight

0.10%

LION weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Lionsgate Studios (LION) is expected to report on Feb 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

6 reports

1 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.9%
avg realized: ±4.9%

May 22 '25May 22 '25confirmed±24.7%▼−1.49%×0.06

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±16.9%▲+7.11%×0.42

Nov 6 '25Nov 6 '25confirmed±13.0%▼−2.28%×0.18

Q3 FY26Feb 5 '26confirmed±12.1%▲+2.49%×0.21

May 21 '26May 21 '26confirmed±13.0%▲+15.80%×1.22

Q1 FY27Aug 6 '26confirmed±9.7%▲+0.31%×0.03

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q1 FY27±9.7%▲+0.31%×0.03

May '26±13.0%▲+15.80%×1.22

Q3 FY26±12.1%▲+2.49%×0.21

Nov '25±13.0%▼−2.28%×0.18

Aug '25±16.9%▲+7.11%×0.42

May '25±24.7%▼−1.49%×0.06

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.06OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,1540%Nov 2014d0.0427,4450%0.04

7,4800%Dec 1842d0.2629,0800%0.26

3890%Jan 1570d0.0221,5100%0.02

report · Feb 4 · after close · est.

670%Mar 19133d1,1670%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d1,1540%27,4450%0.04

Dec 1842d7,4800%29,0800%0.26

Jan 1570d3890%21,5100%0.02

report · Feb 4 · after close · est.

Mar 19133d670%1,1670%0.06

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY27

−2.33%as filednet margin · revenue −13.88% QoQ · +40.77% YoY

Revenue$669M−13.88%

Gross profit$669M100.00%−13.88%

Operating income$29M4.35%+13.67%

Pre-tax income−$13M+39.07%

Net income−$16M−2.33%+46.76%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$640M−14.82%

Tax$3M−67.95%

Other expense−$42M+10.40%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.50· ±3.7% vs ±2.4% · 12 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.7%5 of 12×1.50

PPIproducer prices±2.4%6 of 10×0.98

GDPgross domestic product±2.2%9 of 16×0.92

CPROFcorporate profits±2.1%7 of 11×0.88

NFPjobs report±1.8%4 of 10×0.76

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.8%10 of 16×0.73

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%6 of 10×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.05 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY27	—	-0.05	—
Q1 FY27	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.10	—
Q3 FY26	Feb 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.16	—
Q1 FY19	—	0.22	—

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod