LEANYSEMotor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Lear Corp (LEA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

117.84

+0.46 · +0.39%

post 117.83 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open116.85Volume841,160Mkt cap$5.7BP/E10.16EPS11.60Div yield2.60%

Day116.85 – 120.0031%52-wk96.56 – 149.0841%

LEA

Lear Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 3

before open · in 96 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Oct 30

before open

confirmedOct 29 closethin chain

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

16.00%

of Gentherm revenue

supplierTHRM 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.14%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

520 managers

Top fund weight

0.18%

LEA weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Lear (LEA) is expected to report on Feb 3 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 31 '26confirmed—▼−10.72%—

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26—▼−10.72%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 close

1.70OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1350%Nov 2021d0.413300%0.41

620%Dec 1849d0.581070%0.58

report · Feb 3 · before open · est.

780%Mar 19140d460%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2021d1350%3300%0.41

Dec 1849d620%1070%0.58

report · Feb 3 · before open · est.

Mar 19140d780%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

2.59%as filednet margin · revenue −7.03% QoQ · +1.64% YoY

Revenue

$5.8B−7.03% QoQ

Gross profit

$382M−18.71% QoQ

6.62% margin

Operating income

$197M−26.47% QoQ

3.41% margin

Pre-tax income

$173M−28.27% QoQ

Net income

$150M−29.38% QoQ

2.59% margin

Cost of revenue

$5.4B−6.07% QoQ

Operating expenses

$185M−8.45% QoQ

SG&A $181M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$24M

Tax

$42M−12.99% QoQ

Revenue$5.8B−7.03%

Gross profit

$382M−18.71%

6.62% margin

Operating income

$197M−26.47%

3.41% margin

Pre-tax income

$173M−28.27%

Net income

$150M−29.38%

2.59% margin

Cost of revenue

$5.4B−6.07%

Operating expenses

$185M−8.45%

SG&A $181M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$24M

Tax$42M−12.99%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Oct 3 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.12· ±1.6% vs ±1.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.6%6 of 10×1.12

CPROFcorporate profits±1.6%6 of 12×1.09

GDPgross domestic product±1.6%8 of 19×1.08

NFPjobs report±1.5%5 of 10×1.03

FOMCrate decision±1.3%9 of 24×0.86

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%9 of 19×0.81

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%5 of 10×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.74 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	2.74	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 31 '26 · confirmed	3.79	—
Q1 FY26	—	3.34	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod