LADNYSERetail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

Lithia Motors Inc (LAD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

300.47

+3.41 · +1.15%

post 300.47 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open297.08Volume330,663Mkt cap$6.5BP/E8.58EPS35.03Div yield0.79%

Day297.04 – 303.1656%52-wk238.86 – 438.6731%

LAD

Lithia Motors Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 10

before open · in 102 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−10.15%

vs ±9.5% implied · ×1.06

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 21 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.87%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

446 managers

Top fund weight

0.18%

LAD weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Lithia Motors (LAD) is expected to report on Feb 10 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed—▲+19.30%—

Q3 FY26Oct 21 '26confirmed±9.5%▼−10.15%×1.06

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.5%▼−10.15%×1.06

Q2 FY26—▲+19.30%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.25OI · 3 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,605+24%Nov 2020d1.97813+18%1.97

9,610+8%Dec 1848d7.331,311+41%7.33

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

746+1%Mar 19139d2,9810%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d1,605+24%813+18%1.97

Dec 1848d9,610+8%1,311+41%7.33

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

Mar 19139d746+1%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

2.94%as filednet margin · revenue +1.59% QoQ · +2.80% YoY

Revenue

$9.9B+1.59% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.5B−0.11% QoQ

15.04% margin

Operating income

$420M−6.27% QoQ

4.22% margin

Pre-tax income

$391M+11.05% QoQ

Net income

$293M+11.96% QoQ

2.94% margin

Cost of revenue

$8.5B+1.89% QoQ

Operating expenses

$1.1B+2.53% QoQ

SG&A $1.0B

Depreciation $72M

Other expense

$29M

Tax

$98M+8.40% QoQ

Revenue$9.9B+1.59%

Gross profit

$1.5B−0.11%

15.04% margin

Operating income

$420M−6.27%

4.22% margin

Pre-tax income

$391M+11.05%

Net income

$293M+11.96%

2.94% margin

Cost of revenue

$8.5B+1.89%

Operating expenses

$1.1B+2.53%

SG&A $1.0B

Depreciation $72M

Other expense

$29M

Tax$98M+8.40%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.77· ±3.1% vs ±1.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.1%14 of 24×1.77

NFPjobs report±1.7%6 of 10×0.96

PPIproducer prices±1.6%5 of 11×0.92

CPIconsumer prices±1.5%6 of 11×0.89

CPROFcorporate profits±1.5%4 of 12×0.85

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%5 of 19×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%8 of 19×0.68

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 13.22 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 21 '26 · confirmed	13.22	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	11.54	—
Q1 FY26	—	4.28	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod