KGFire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Ranger Bermuda Topco Ltd (KG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

4.21

+0.20 · +4.99%

Regular session16:00 ET

Open4.21Volume6,829Mkt cap$33.7M

Day4.21 – 4.2150%52-wk3.84 – 23.892%

Kestrel Group Ltd

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.01%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 7 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−16.58%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

38 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

KG weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ranger Bermuda Topco (KG) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

4 reports

—≥ implied

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±99.5%▼−19.74%×0.20

Q1 FY26Mar 13 '26confirmed—▼−4.73%—

May 8 '26May 8 '26confirmed—▼−1.77%—

Q2 FY26Aug 7 '26confirmed—▼−1.01%—

quarterimplied−100%0+100%realized×

Q2 FY26—▼−1.01%—

May '26—▼−1.77%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

No open-interest data.

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−99.52%as filednet margin · revenue −36.79% QoQ · +21.90% YoY

Revenue$8M−36.79%

Gross profit$8M100.00%−9.28%

Operating income−$5M−59.97%+25.30%

Pre-tax income−$8M−18.11%

Net income−$8M−99.52%−8.76%

Cost of revenue$0−100.00%

Operating expenses$13M−16.03%

Tax−$112,000−1966.67%

Other expense−$2M−185.23%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.59· ±5.8% vs ±3.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±5.8%4 of 10×1.59

CPROFcorporate profits±5.5%6 of 11×1.51

GDPgross domestic product±4.9%9 of 15×1.34

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.1%9 of 15×1.13

FOMCrate decision±3.9%4 of 11×1.08

NFPjobs report±3.8%6 of 10×1.03

CPIconsumer prices±3.6%3 of 10×0.99

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±3.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 7 '26 · confirmed	-1.03	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 13 '26 · confirmed	-0.96	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	-0.65	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod