How often does Jade Biosciences move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

JBIONasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Jade Biosciences, Inc. (JBIO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

14.55

Closed16:00 ET

Open14.13Volume718,190Mkt cap$885.9MEPS-2.51

Day14.10 – 14.7074%52-wk8.36 – 28.0031%

JBIO

Jade Biosciences, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 13

before open · in 9 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.05%

vs ±18.9% implied · ×0.06

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+15.16%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

152 managers

Top fund weight

0.32%

JBIO weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Jade Biosciences (JBIO) is expected to report on Nov 13 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±18.9%
avg realized: ±7.6%

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±5.8%▲+24.80%×4.29

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed±15.0%▼−1.99%×0.13

Aug 13 '25Aug 13 '25confirmed±18.6%▼−7.64%×0.41

Q3 FY25Nov 14 '25confirmed±13.5%▲+10.54%×0.78

Jan 5 '26Jan 5 '26confirmed±26.0%▼−7.34%×0.28

Q1 FY26Mar 6 '26confirmed±29.2%▲+1.22%×0.04

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±24.6%▲+6.56%×0.27

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±18.9%▼−1.05%×0.06

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26±18.9%▼−1.05%×0.06

May '26±24.6%▲+6.56%×0.27

Q1 FY26±29.2%▲+1.22%×0.04

Jan '26±26.0%▼−7.34%×0.28

Q3 FY25±13.5%▲+10.54%×0.78

Aug '25±18.6%▼−7.64%×0.41

2 older reports

May '25±15.0%▼−1.99%×0.13

May '25±5.8%▲+24.80%×4.29

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.02OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

100%Nov 2016d6360%

1,2830%Jan 1572d16.45780%16.45

50%Feb 19107d0.022040%0.02

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d100%6360%0.02

Jan 1572d1,2830%780%16.45

Feb 19107d50%2040%0.02

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.26· ±4.3% vs ±3.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±4.3%10 of 24×1.26

CPROFcorporate profits±3.6%4 of 12×1.04

GDPgross domestic product±3.5%7 of 19×1.01

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.1%9 of 19×0.90

NFPjobs report±2.9%7 of 10×0.84

PPIproducer prices±2.8%8 of 10×0.80

CPIconsumer prices±2.5%6 of 10×0.73

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -757.69 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-757.69	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.57	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 14 '25 · confirmed	-0.48	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod