INVNasdaqBlank Checks

Innventure, Inc. (INV) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

0.26

−0.03 · −10.28%

post 0.26 −1.00%

Closed19:31 ET

Open0.28Volume3.5MMkt cap$24.1M

Day0.26 – 0.303%52-wk0.24 – 7.860%

INV

Innventure, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

after close · in 9 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−55.14%

vs ±29.5% implied · ×1.87

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 13 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

31.80%

of INV revenue · Customer C

customerINV 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+23.04%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

131 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

INV weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Innventure (INV) is expected to report on Nov 12 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

7 reports

—≥ implied

Nov 14 '24Nov 14 '24confirmed—▲+3.48%—

Apr 11 '25Apr 11 '25confirmed—0.00%—

May 15 '25May 15 '25confirmed—▲+15.99%—

Q3 FY25Nov 13 '25confirmed—▼−12.20%—

Q1 FY26Mar 30 '26confirmed±31.4%▲+8.31%×0.26

May 14 '26May 14 '26confirmed±12.3%▼−8.20%×0.67

Q2 FY26Aug 13 '26confirmed±29.5%▼−55.14%×1.87

quarterimplied−60%0+60%realized×

Q2 FY26±29.5%▼−55.14%×1.87

May '26±12.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.08OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,2340%Nov 2017d15,2740%

2170%Feb 19108d0.0116,8900%0.01

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d1,2340%15,2740%0.08

Feb 19108d2170%16,8900%0.01

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−3663.59%as filednet margin · revenue −33.96% QoQ · +100.21% YoY

Revenue$953,000−33.96%

Gross profit−$4M−432.32%−8.14%

Operating income−$31M−3304.09%−15.35%

Pre-tax income−$36M−18.20%

Net income−$35M−3663.59%−25.67%

Cost of revenue$5M−3.43%

Operating expenses$27M+16.52%

Tax−$2M+50.05%

Other expense−$5M−40.26%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×0.99· ±5.3% vs ±5.4% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±5.3%7 of 19×0.99

CPIconsumer prices±5.2%5 of 10×0.97

NFPjobs report±4.9%4 of 10×0.92

GDPgross domestic product±4.1%6 of 19×0.76

CPROFcorporate profits±3.7%4 of 12×0.69

FOMCrate decision±3.6%8 of 16×0.67

PPIproducer prices±2.6%4 of 10×0.49

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±5.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.32 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 13 '26 · confirmed	-0.32	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 30 '26 · confirmed	-0.27	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 13 '25 · confirmed	-0.51	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod