How often does InterDigital move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

IDCCNasdaqPatent Owners & Lessors

InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

316.79

+0.84 · +0.27%

post 312.16 −1.46%

Closed18:04 ET

Open312.68Volume266,046Mkt cap$8.1BP/E25.50EPS12.24Div yield0.90%

Day311.85 – 316.796%52-wk247.95 – 396.3243%

IDCC

InterDigital, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 4

before open · in 92 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.28%

vs ±8.7% implied · ×0.49

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

6hGOOGL · customerGoogle responds to political backlash over removing search from schools that ban AI
10hAAPL · customerApple warns of risks related to AI agents behaving in 'unintended or unpredictable' ways
17hLPL · customerLG Display designated unfaithful disclosure corporation by Korea Exchange

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+9.39%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

512 managers

Top fund weight

0.23%

IDCC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

InterDigital (IDCC) is expected to report on Feb 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.4%
avg realized: ±9.0%

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±7.3%▲+16.05%×2.21

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±8.3%▲+0.57%×0.07

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±6.9%▲+5.31%×0.77

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±10.0%▲+3.53%×0.35

Feb 5 '26Feb 5 '26confirmed±8.6%▲+9.93%×1.16

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±8.0%▼−15.91%×1.99

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±9.5%▲+16.16%×1.70

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±8.7%▲+4.28%×0.49

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±8.7%▲+4.28%×0.49

Q2 FY26±9.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.23OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

324+1%Nov 2016d1.77183+85%1.77

1,334−1%Dec 1844d0.711,880+9%0.71

80−7%Jan 1572d0.36221+2%0.36

report · Feb 4 · before open · est.

600%Mar 19135d260+7%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d324+1%183+85%1.77

Dec 1844d1,334−1%1,880+9%0.71

Jan 1572d80−7%221+2%0.36

report · Feb 4 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

41.48%as filednet margin · revenue −25.65% QoQ · +17.46% YoY

Revenue

$193M−25.65% QoQ

Gross profit

$193M−25.65% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$99M−28.64% QoQ

51.37% margin

Pre-tax income

$100M−30.60% QoQ

Net income

$80M−31.06% QoQ

41.48% margin

Operating expenses

$94M−22.22% QoQ

R&D $57M

Other operating $24M

SG&A $13M

Tax

$19M−28.62% QoQ

Other income

$142,000−96.57% QoQ

Revenue$193M−25.65%

Gross profit

$193M−25.65%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$99M−28.64%

51.37% margin

Pre-tax income

$100M−30.60%

Net income

$80M−31.06%

41.48% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$94M−22.22%

R&D $57M

Other operating $24M

SG&A $13M

Other income$142,000−96.57%

Tax$19M−28.62%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×2.11· ±3.3% vs ±1.6% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±3.3%9 of 19×2.11

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.9%10 of 19×1.90

PPIproducer prices±1.9%6 of 10×1.24

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%8 of 10×1.01

NFPjobs report±1.5%5 of 10×0.95

FOMCrate decision±1.4%14 of 24×0.91

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%4 of 12×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.34 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	2.34	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	3.40	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	2.14	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod