How often does Marinemax move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HZONYSERetail-Auto & Home Supply Stores

Marinemax Inc (HZO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

52.67

+0.02 · +0.03%

post 52.73 +0.12%

Closed15:59 ET

Open52.76Volume526,225Mkt cap$1.2BP/E291.74

Day52.71 – 52.7828%52-wk21.42 – 52.85100%

HZO

Marinemax Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

before open · in 84 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

before open

confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.07%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

183 managers

Top fund weight

1.53%

HZO weight · EVNT

N-PORTAug 31 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Marinemax (HZO) is expected to report on Jan 28 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.5%
avg realized: ±8.5%

Oct 31 '24Oct 31 '24confirmed±10.2%▼−3.03%×0.30

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±12.8%▲+15.86%×1.24

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±12.8%▲+17.34%×1.36

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±12.1%▼−16.87%×1.39

Nov 13 '25Nov 13 '25confirmed±14.7%▼−3.92%×0.27

Jan 29 '26Jan 29 '26confirmed±12.5%▼−8.23%×0.66

Q2 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±12.7%▲+1.13%×0.09

Q3 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±11.7%▲+1.97%×0.17

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±11.7%▲+1.97%×0.17

Q2 FY26±12.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

64.67OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2710%Nov 2015d9.6828+600%9.68

2100%Jan 1571d0.693040%0.69

report · Jan 28 · before open · est.

1940%Apr 16162d30%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d2710%28+600%9.68

Jan 1571d2100%3040%0.69

report · Jan 28 · before open · est.

Apr 16162d1940%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

2.56%as filednet margin · revenue +15.90% QoQ · −6.98% YoY

Revenue

$611M+15.90% QoQ

Gross profit

$218M+20.30% QoQ

35.68% margin

Operating income

$37M+243.41% QoQ

6.09% margin

Pre-tax income

$23M+699.56% QoQ

Net income

$16M+676.32% QoQ

2.56% margin

Cost of revenue

$393M+13.59% QoQ

Operating expenses

$181M+6.11% QoQ

Other expense

$14M

Tax

$7M+756.60% QoQ

Revenue$611M+15.90%

Gross profit

$218M+20.30%

35.68% margin

Operating income

$37M+243.41%

6.09% margin

Pre-tax income

$23M+699.56%

Net income

$16M+676.32%

2.56% margin

Cost of revenue

$393M+13.59%

Operating expenses

$181M+6.11%

Other expense

$14M

Tax$7M+756.60%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.18· ±2.9% vs ±2.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.9%8 of 10×1.18

FOMCrate decision±2.6%10 of 24×1.06

NFPjobs report±2.4%4 of 10×0.98

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%9 of 19×0.62

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%7 of 19×0.60

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%4 of 10×0.59

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%6 of 12×0.31

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.66 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	0.66	—
Q2 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod