How often does Heartland Express move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HTLDNasdaqTrucking (No Local)

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

10.22

Closed16:00 ET

Open10.36Volume626,502Mkt cap$790.3MEPS-0.27Div yield0.78%

Day10.15 – 10.3630%52-wk6.94 – 16.5834%

HTLD

Heartland Express Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 8

in 99 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.10%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 21 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dFDX · customerCramer sees opportunity amid tech turmoil and predicts a holiday win for FedEx
10dPEP · customerPepsi renews contract with Taco Bell days after KFC switches to Coke in the U.S.

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.51%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

196 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

HTLD weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Heartland Express (HTLD) is expected to report on Feb 8 (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.5%
avg realized: ±2.4%

Jan 31 '25Jan 31 '25confirmed±9.7%▼−2.71%×0.28

May 2 '25May 2 '25confirmed±6.1%▲+5.83%×0.96

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±10.6%▼−3.22%×0.30

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±10.9%▲+0.26%×0.02

Feb 9 '26Feb 9 '26confirmed±7.0%▲+1.13%×0.16

Q1 FY26Apr 24 '26confirmed±12.1%▲+1.84%×0.15

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±9.9%▼−1.80%×0.18

Oct 21 '26Oct 21 '26confirmed—▼−0.10%—

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Oct '26—▼−0.10%—

Q2 FY26±9.9%−1.80%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Oct 27 close

0.26OI · 1 expiry · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

350%Dec 1847d1340%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1847d350%1340%0.26

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

5.75%as filednet margin · revenue +4.47% QoQ · −12.48% YoY

Revenue

$184M+4.47% QoQ

Gross profit

$74M+0.03% QoQ

40.43% margin

Operating income

$17M+602.25% QoQ

8.99% margin

Pre-tax income

$15M+383.90% QoQ

Net income

$11M+319.52% QoQ

5.75% margin

Cost of revenue

$110M+7.71% QoQ

Operating expenses

$58M−25.51% QoQ

Depreciation $32M

SG&A $22M

Other operating $17M

Other expense

$2M

Tax

$4M+1034.59% QoQ

Revenue$184M+4.47%

Gross profit

$74M+0.03%

40.43% margin

Operating income

$17M+602.25%

8.99% margin

Pre-tax income

$15M+383.90%

Net income

$11M+319.52%

5.75% margin

Cost of revenue

$110M+7.71%

Operating expenses

$58M−25.51%

Depreciation $32M

SG&A $22M

Other operating $17M

Other expense

$2M

Tax$4M+1034.59%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.35· ±2.2% vs ±1.6% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.2%8 of 24×1.35

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%5 of 10×1.00

NFPjobs report±1.5%6 of 10×0.89

PPIproducer prices±1.4%3 of 10×0.85

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%12 of 19×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.4%12 of 19×0.82

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%9 of 12×0.71

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.14 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.14	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 24 '26 · confirmed	-0.06	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	-0.11	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod