HTGCNYSEFinancial

Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

16.58

−0.32 · −1.92%

post 16.62 +0.27%

Closed18:36 ET

Open16.85Volume2.2MMkt cap$3.1BP/E8.57EPS1.94Div yield10.07%

Day16.47 – 17.0028%52-wk12.93 – 17.9374%

HTGC

Hercules Capital, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

before open · in 103 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.83%

vs ±4.4% implied · ×0.42

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+15.71%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

335 managers

Top fund weight

—

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Hercules Capital (HTGC) is expected to report on Feb 11 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

—≥ implied

Feb 13 '25Feb 13 '25confirmed—▲+1.04%—

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed—▼−0.90%—

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed—▲+2.08%—

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed—▲+1.88%—

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed—▼−6.14%—

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed—▼−0.78%—

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed—▲+3.01%—

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±4.4%▼−1.83%×0.42

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±4.4%▼−1.83%×0.42

Q2 FY26—▲+3.01%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 close

2.82OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5,022−1%Nov 2020d2.601,928+5%2.60

3,2490%Dec 1848d1.023,1950%1.02

1,1240%Jan 1576d0.581,9540%0.58

report · Feb 11 · before open · est.

2,145+8%Apr 16167d760+30%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d5,022−1%1,928+5%2.60

Dec 1848d3,2490%3,1950%1.02

Jan 1576d1,1240%1,9540%0.58

report · Feb 11 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No linked exposure.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

53.79%as filednet margin · revenue −18.14% QoQ · +14.56% YoY

Revenue$226M−18.14%

Pre-tax income$121M−24.96%

Net income$121M53.79%−24.96%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.49· ±1.5% vs ±1.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.5%4 of 10×1.49

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%4 of 10×1.31

FOMCrate decision±1.1%9 of 24×1.09

NFPjobs report±1.0%3 of 10×0.95

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%9 of 19×0.92

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%9 of 19×0.84

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%7 of 12×0.77

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.48 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	0.48	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	0.67	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	0.23	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod