How often does Home Bancshares move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HOMBNYSEState Commercial Banks

Home Bancshares Inc (HOMB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

30.89

+0.44 · +1.46%

Regular session10:13 ET

Open31.08Volume1.8MMkt cap$6.1BP/E12.77EPS2.42Div yield2.82%

Day30.89 – 31.080%52-wk25.28 – 31.5490%

HOMB

Home Bancshares Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 13

after close · in 69 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.05%

vs ±5.9% implied · ×0.35

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 14 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+9.44%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

375 managers

Top fund weight

0.17%

HOMB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

6 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Home Bancshares (HOMB) is expected to report on Jan 13 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.2%
avg realized: ±2.5%

Jan 15 '25Jan 15 '25confirmed±5.8%▲+1.13%×0.20

Apr 16 '25Apr 16 '25confirmed±6.9%▲+1.85%×0.27

Jul 16 '25Jul 16 '25confirmed±6.4%▲+2.14%×0.33

Q3 FY25Oct 15 '25confirmed±8.7%▼−3.39%×0.39

Jan 14 '26Jan 14 '26confirmed±5.0%▲+0.91%×0.18

Q1 FY26Apr 15 '26confirmed±7.4%▼−3.36%×0.46

Q2 FY26Jul 15 '26confirmed±3.9%▲+4.78%×1.24

Oct 14 '26Oct 14 '26confirmed±5.9%▲+2.05%×0.35

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±5.9%▲+2.05%×0.35

Q2 FY26±3.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Nov 4 close

0.32OI · 1 expiry · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

580%Dec 1843d180−1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1843d580%180−1%0.32

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

40.44%as filednet margin · revenue +10.64% QoQ · +8.88% YoY

Revenue$295M+10.64%

Pre-tax income$154M+1.43%

Net income$119M40.44%+0.95%

Tax$35M+3.09%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.62· ±1.8% vs ±1.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.8%10 of 24×1.62

PPIproducer prices±1.3%5 of 10×1.18

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%4 of 10×0.73

NFPjobs report±0.7%3 of 10×0.64

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%4 of 12×0.64

GDPgross domestic product±0.7%7 of 19×0.59

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.7%5 of 19×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.59 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 15 '26 · confirmed	0.59	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 15 '26 · confirmed	0.60	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 15 '25 · confirmed	0.63	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod