How often does Helix Energy Solutions move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HLXNYSEOil & Gas Field Services, NEC

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

10.12

−0.19 · −1.80%

post 10.62 +4.94%

Closed15:59 ET

Open10.34Volume4.1MMkt cap$1.6BP/E39.31EPS0.27

Day10.19 – 10.7083%52-wk6.03 – 10.7597%

HLX

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 4 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+5.26%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

18.00%

of HLX revenue · Shell

customerHLX 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.78%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

234 managers

Top fund weight

0.04%

HLX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Helix Energy Solutions (HLX) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.3%
avg realized: ±7.0%

Oct 23 '24Oct 23 '24confirmed±13.0%▼−2.84%×0.22

Feb 24 '25Feb 24 '25confirmed±9.7%▲+9.55%×0.99

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±12.1%▼−0.45%×0.04

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±10.3%▼−13.94%×1.35

Q3 FY25Oct 22 '25confirmed±17.1%▲+4.83%×0.28

Feb 23 '26Feb 23 '26confirmed±12.0%▲+16.32%×1.36

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±12.0%▲+0.73%×0.06

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed—▲+5.26%—

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+5.26%—

Q1 FY26±12.0%▲+0.73%×0.06

Feb '26±12.0%▲+16.32%×1.36

Q3 FY25±17.1%▲+4.83%×0.28

Jul '25±10.3%▼−13.94%×1.35

Apr '25±12.1%▼−0.45%×0.04

2 older reports

Feb '25±9.7%▲+9.55%×0.99

Oct '24±13.0%▼−2.84%×0.22

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 28 close

—OI · 2 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

0—Dec 1847d0—

0—Mar 19138d—0——

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1847d0—0——

Mar 19138d0—0——

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

7.47%as filednet margin · revenue +5.58% QoQ · +20.79% YoY

Revenue

$304M+5.58% QoQ

Gross profit

$56M+536.59% QoQ

18.49% margin

Operating income

$27M+300.64% QoQ

8.79% margin

Pre-tax income

$22M+235.32% QoQ

Net income

$23M+269.48% QoQ

7.47% margin

Cost of revenue

$248M−11.21% QoQ

Operating expenses

$29M+33.15% QoQ

SG&A $21M

Other operating $8M

Other expense

$4M

Tax

$7M+326.59% QoQ

Revenue$304M+5.58%

Gross profit

$56M+536.59%

18.49% margin

Operating income

$27M+300.64%

8.79% margin

Pre-tax income

$22M+235.32%

Net income

$23M+269.48%

7.47% margin

Cost of revenue

$248M−11.21%

Operating expenses

$29M+33.15%

SG&A $21M

Other operating $8M

Other expense

$4M

Tax$7M+326.59%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.47· ±3.0% vs ±2.0% · 8 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.0%3 of 8×1.47

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%7 of 18×0.91

CPIconsumer prices±1.8%5 of 9×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±1.7%10 of 18×0.84

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%6 of 11×0.82

FOMCrate decision±1.6%8 of 23×0.80

PPIproducer prices±1.5%6 of 9×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	0.15	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	-0.09	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 22 '25 · confirmed	0.15	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod