Hillman Solutions Corp. · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 3 · before openest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.1%
avg realized: ±7.8%

Feb 18 '25±6.6%▼−2.12%×0.32

Apr 29 '25±9.6%▼−7.40%×0.77

Aug 5 '25±10.5%▲+19.07%×1.82

Q3 FY25±18.7%▼−2.80%×0.15

Feb 17 '26±10.3%▼−10.14%×0.99

Q1 FY26±13.7%▼−5.13%×0.37

Q2 FY26±17.3%▲+1.68%×0.10

Aug 4 '26±25.8%▲+14.44%×0.56

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Aug '26±25.8%▲+14.44%×0.56

Q2 FY26±17.3%▲+1.68%×0.10

Q1 FY26±13.7%▼−5.13%×0.37

Feb '26±10.3%▼−10.14%×0.99

Q3 FY25±18.7%▼−2.80%×0.15

Aug '25±10.5%▲+19.07%×1.82

2 older reports

Apr '25±9.6%▼−7.40%×0.77

Feb '25±6.6%▼−2.12%×0.32

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2

+3.90%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

7 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

Bear2 of 3

22.50%share of revenue from the largest disclosed customer Home DepotSEC filings

13 of 24largest reporting managers cutting their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

HLMN report session

Customers 3

LOWLowe's×0.37 HDHome Depot×0.35 TSCOTractor Supply×0.27

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±11.6% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.