How often does Hartford Insurance move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HIGNYSEFire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

135.68

+0.76 · +0.56%

Regular session10:54 ET

Open134.92Volume2.1MMkt cap$36.1BP/E8.12EPS16.71Div yield1.78%

Day134.55 – 136.5357%52-wk120.42 – 145.4361%

HIG

Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

after close · in 85 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.79%

vs ±4.4% implied · ×0.41

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 26 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

77dAII · supplierAmerican Integrity Insurance (AII) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.77%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,200 managers

Top fund weight

0.48%

HIG weight · XLF

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Hartford Insurance (HIG) is expected to report on Jan 28 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.4%
avg realized: ±2.0%

Jan 30 '25Jan 30 '25confirmed±4.1%▼−2.37%×0.58

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±4.9%▼−0.40%×0.08

Jul 28 '25Jul 28 '25confirmed±4.1%▲+2.80%×0.68

Oct 27 '25Oct 27 '25confirmed±4.6%▼−1.82%×0.40

Jan 29 '26Jan 29 '26confirmed±4.6%▲+2.03%×0.44

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±3.4%▼−3.70%×1.08

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±4.8%▼−1.16%×0.24

Q3 FY26Oct 26 '26confirmed±4.4%▼−1.79%×0.41

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q3 FY26±4.4%▼−1.79%×0.41

Q2 FY26±4.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.31OI · 3 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

497+23%Nov 2016d0.53943+4%0.53

1,5610%Dec 1844d0.188,5670%0.18

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

4630%Mar 19135d1,516+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d497+23%943+4%0.53

Dec 1844d1,5610%8,5670%0.18

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d4630%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

18.32%as filednet margin · revenue −0.59% QoQ · −0.17% YoY

Revenue

$7.2B−0.59% QoQ

Gross profit

$7.2B−0.59% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$1.6B+27.48% QoQ

22.62% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.6B+28.59% QoQ

Net income

$1.3B+1.93% QoQ

18.32% margin

Operating expenses

$5.6B−6.60% QoQ

Other operating $3.7B

SG&A $1.2B

Other operating $697M

Other expense

$50M

Tax

$321M+27.89% QoQ

Revenue$7.2B−0.59%

Gross profit

$7.2B−0.59%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$1.6B+27.48%

22.62% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.6B+28.59%

Net income

$1.3B+1.93%

18.32% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$5.6B−6.60%

Other operating $3.7B

SG&A $1.2B

Other operating $697M

Other expense

$50M

Tax$321M+27.89%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 10:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.27· ±1.2% vs ±0.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.2%4 of 10×1.27

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%3 of 10×1.24

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%8 of 19×1.11

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%6 of 12×1.04

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%10 of 19×0.99

PPIproducer prices±0.9%4 of 10×0.91

FOMCrate decision±0.8%11 of 24×0.81

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±0.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.82 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 26 '26 · confirmed	4.82	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	4.68	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	3.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod