How often does Healthcare Services move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HCSGNasdaqServices-Nursing & Personal Care Facilities

Healthcare Services Group Inc (HCSG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

25.77

+0.20 · +0.78%

post 26.56 +3.07%

Closed15:59 ET

Open26.11Volume893,313Mkt cap$1.7BP/E17.59EPS1.51

Day26.09 – 26.8066%52-wk16.78 – 26.28100%

HCSG

Healthcare Services Group Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 10

before open · in 97 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.98%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 21 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

7.30%

of HCSG revenue · Genesis Healthcare

customerHCSG 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.06%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

273 managers

Top fund weight

0.05%

HCSG weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Healthcare Services (HCSG) is expected to report on Feb 10 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.6%
avg realized: ±13.8%

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±14.3%▼−1.79%×0.12

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±9.1%▲+29.54%×3.24

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+12.11%×1.14

Oct 22 '25Oct 22 '25confirmed±17.2%▲+13.76%×0.80

Feb 11 '26Feb 11 '26confirmed±15.4%▲+15.80%×1.03

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±16.7%▲+18.29%×1.09

Q2 FY26Jul 22 '26confirmed±11.9%▼−5.00%×0.42

Q3 FY26Oct 21 '26confirmed—▲+0.98%—

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+0.98%—

Q2 FY26±11.9%▼−5.00%×0.42

Q1 FY26±16.7%▲+18.29%×1.09

Feb '26±15.4%▲+15.80%×1.03

Oct '25±17.2%▲+13.76%×0.80

Jul '25±10.6%▲+12.11%×1.14

2 older reports

Apr '25±9.1%▲+29.54%×3.24

Feb '25±14.3%▼−1.79%×0.12

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 26 close

2.71OI · 2 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

50%Dec 1843d0.051000%0.05

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

1980%Mar 19134d73+18%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1843d50%1000%0.05

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

Mar 19134d1980%73+18%2.71

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

5.19%as filednet margin · revenue +1.87% QoQ · +3.29% YoY

Revenue

$480M+1.87% QoQ

Gross profit

$80M+7.48% QoQ

16.76% margin

Operating income

$32M+43.81% QoQ

6.66% margin

Pre-tax income

$34M+8.79% QoQ

Net income

$25M+9.61% QoQ

5.19% margin

Cost of revenue

$399M+0.81% QoQ

Operating expenses

$48M−7.86% QoQ

Tax

$9M+6.55% QoQ

Other income

$2M−79.64% QoQ

Revenue$480M+1.87%

Gross profit

$80M+7.48%

16.76% margin

Operating income

$32M+43.81%

6.66% margin

Pre-tax income

$34M+8.79%

Net income

$25M+9.61%

5.19% margin

Cost of revenue

$399M+0.81%

Operating expenses

$48M−7.86%

Other income$2M−79.64%

Tax$9M+6.55%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.60· ±2.6% vs ±1.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.6%7 of 10×1.60

PPIproducer prices±1.5%5 of 10×0.89

FOMCrate decision±1.1%10 of 24×0.68

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%13 of 19×0.63

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%9 of 19×0.58

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%8 of 12×0.58

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%4 of 10×0.37

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.36 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 21 '26 · confirmed	0.36	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 22 '26 · confirmed	0.32	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	0.37	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod