How often does Home Bancorp move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HBCPNasdaqSavings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Home Bancorp, Inc. (HBCP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

61.68

pre 61.37 −0.43%

Pre-market15:59 ETdelayed

Open61.41Volume95,509Mkt cap$485.1MP/E10.16EPS6.04Div yield2.04%

Day61.36 – 61.582%52-wk51.05 – 74.1145%

HBCP

Home Bancorp, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 25

after close · in 82 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−9.59%

vs ±8.0% implied · ×1.20

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 19 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+27.55%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

142 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

HBCP weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Home Bancorp (HBCP) is expected to report on Jan 25 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.9%
avg realized: ±4.1%

Jan 27 '25Jan 27 '25confirmed±8.3%▲+4.36%×0.53

Apr 21 '25Apr 21 '25confirmed±9.5%▲+10.66%×1.12

Jul 21 '25Jul 21 '25confirmed±8.2%▲+0.62%×0.08

Oct 20 '25Oct 20 '25confirmed±8.5%▲+2.37%×0.28

Jan 26 '26Jan 26 '26confirmed±7.2%▼−3.26%×0.46

Q1 FY26Apr 20 '26confirmed±6.4%▼−1.39%×0.22

Q2 FY26Jul 20 '26confirmed±7.1%▲+0.63%×0.09

Oct 19 '26Oct 19 '26confirmed±8.0%▼−9.59%×1.20

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Oct '26±8.0%▼−9.59%×1.20

Q2 FY26±7.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.50OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

60%Nov 2016d0.6010−17%0.60

0—Dec 1844d—0——

50%Jan 1572d1.0050%1.00

report · Jan 25 · after close · est.

10%Apr 16163d20%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d60%10−17%0.60

Dec 1844d0—0——

Jan 1572d50%50%1.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

29.24%as filednet margin · revenue +3.94% QoQ · +7.17% YoY

Revenue$40M+3.94%

Pre-tax income$14M+0.35%

Net income$12M29.24%+2.24%

Tax$3M−6.84%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.25· ±1.7% vs ±1.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.7%12 of 24×1.25

NFPjobs report±1.1%3 of 10×0.79

PPIproducer prices±0.9%6 of 10×0.65

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%5 of 19×0.63

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%4 of 10×0.58

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%7 of 19×0.57

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%5 of 12×0.49

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.48 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 20 '26 · confirmed	1.48	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 20 '26 · confirmed	1.45	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod