HAYWNYSERefrigeration & Service Industry Machinery

Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

16.12

+0.55 · +3.53%

post 16.12 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open15.84Volume5.8MMkt cap$3.4BP/E20.67EPS0.78

Day15.83 – 16.12100%52-wk11.24 – 17.4279%

HAYW

Hayward Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 24

before open · in 116 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+13.51%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

33.00%

of HAYW revenue · Pool

customerHAYW 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+13.88%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

281 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

HAYW weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Hayward (HAYW) is expected to report on Feb 24 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed—▲+0.93%—

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed—▲+13.51%—

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+13.51%—

Q2 FY26—▲+0.93%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 close

2.40OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

10%Nov 2020d0.05190%0.05

0—Dec 1848d—0——

4900%Jan 1576d0.251,9870%0.25

report · Feb 24 · before open · est.

120%Apr 16167d50%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d10%190%0.05

Dec 1848d0—0——

Jan 1576d4900%1,9870%0.25

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

12.46%as filednet margin · revenue −18.29% QoQ · +6.47% YoY

Revenue

$260M−18.29% QoQ

Gross profit

$125M−19.61% QoQ

47.92% margin

Operating income

$50M−33.94% QoQ

19.30% margin

Pre-tax income

$41M−30.58% QoQ

Net income

$32M−28.93% QoQ

12.46% margin

Cost of revenue

$135M−17.05% QoQ

Operating expenses

$74M−5.83% QoQ

SG&A $59M

R&D $9M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$9M

Tax

$9M−36.07% QoQ

Revenue$260M−18.29%

Gross profit

$125M−19.61%

47.92% margin

Operating income

$50M−33.94%

19.30% margin

Pre-tax income

$41M−30.58%

Net income

$32M−28.93%

12.46% margin

Cost of revenue

$135M−17.05%

Operating expenses

$74M−5.83%

SG&A $59M

R&D $9M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$9M

Tax$9M−36.07%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 26 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.51· ±2.4% vs ±1.6% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.4%12 of 24×1.51

PPIproducer prices±2.2%5 of 11×1.40

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%5 of 11×1.00

NFPjobs report±1.2%4 of 10×0.76

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%10 of 19×0.69

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%7 of 19×0.57

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.53

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	0.15	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.21	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.11	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod