How often does Hasbro move more than the options market prices?

6 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HASNasdaqGames, Toys & Children's Vehicles (No Dolls & Bicycles)

Hasbro, Inc. (HAS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

119.10

−0.47 · −0.39%

post 119.24 +0.12%

Closed17:43 ET

Open119.77Volume1.9MMkt cap$16.7BP/E17.59EPS6.78Div yield2.35%

Day118.47 – 120.5038%52-wk72.47 – 121.0496%

HAS

Hasbro, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 9

before open · in 100 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+11.20%

vs ±7.6% implied · ×1.46

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 20 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dAMZN · customerAmazon falls 2%, Intel dives 29%, as tech stocks sell off in post-earnings rout
3dWMT · customerFTC demands Walmart, Uber, Delta and others hand over data on personalized pricing: Reuters

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.58%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

773 managers

Top fund weight

0.28%

HAS weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

8 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Hasbro (HAS) is expected to report on Feb 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

6 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.9%
avg realized: ±8.6%

Feb 20 '25Feb 20 '25confirmed±6.6%▲+12.95%×1.97

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±10.1%▲+14.58%×1.44

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±8.9%▼−0.94%×0.11

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±8.0%▲+3.70%×0.46

Q1 FY26Feb 10 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+7.48%×1.21

May 20 '26May 20 '26confirmed±7.0%▼−8.83%×1.27

Q2 FY26Jul 21 '26confirmed±8.7%▲+8.81%×1.01

Q3 FY26Oct 20 '26confirmed±7.6%▲+11.20%×1.46

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.6%▲+11.20%×1.46

Q2 FY26±8.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.37OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

17,850+1455%Nov 2019d2.317,716+228%2.31

3,625+127%Dec 1847d1.792,030+26%1.79

2,793+389%Jan 1575d0.574,884+57%0.57

report · Feb 9 · before open · est.

370+80%Mar 19138d996+61%

160+78%Apr 16166d0.85189+688%0.85

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d17,850+1455%7,716+228%2.31

Dec 1847d3,625+127%2,030+26%1.79

Jan 1575d2,793+389%4,884+57%0.57

report · Feb 9 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

24.76%as filednet margin · revenue +39.99% QoQ · +14.98% YoY

Revenue

$1.6B+39.99% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.2B+39.59% QoQ

75.88% margin

Operating income

$517M+104.87% QoQ

32.43% margin

Pre-tax income

$489M+134.36% QoQ

Net income

$395M+144.89% QoQ

24.76% margin

Cost of revenue

$385M+41.26% QoQ

Operating expenses

$693M+12.77% QoQ

SG&A $332M

Other operating $142M

R&D $103M

Other operating $116M

Other expense

$28M

Tax

$94M+98.52% QoQ

Revenue$1.6B+39.99%

Gross profit

$1.2B+39.59%

75.88% margin

Operating income

$517M+104.87%

32.43% margin

Pre-tax income

$489M+134.36%

Net income

$395M+144.89%

24.76% margin

Cost of revenue

$385M+41.26%

Operating expenses

$693M+12.77%

SG&A $332M

Other operating $142M

R&D $103M

Other expense

$28M

Tax$94M+98.52%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 27 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 17:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.13· ±1.6% vs ±1.4% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.6%6 of 11×1.13

FOMCrate decision±1.2%12 of 25×0.91

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%4 of 11×0.86

NFPjobs report±1.2%3 of 10×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%8 of 20×0.83

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%10 of 20×0.73

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.58

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.77 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 20 '26 · confirmed	2.77	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 21 '26 · confirmed	1.12	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 10 '26 · confirmed	1.39	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod