How often does Garrett Motion move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GTXNasdaqMotor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

20.90

−1.58 · −7.03%

post 20.80 −0.48%

Closed18:23 ET

Open22.25Volume4.8MMkt cap$3.9BP/E10.45EPS1.99Div yield1.53%

Day20.68 – 22.278%52-wk15.32 – 36.1426%

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

before open · in 110 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.67%

vs ±11.3% implied · ×0.06

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

12.00%

of GTX revenue · Stellantis N.V

customerGTX 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.45%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

458 managers

Top fund weight

0.20%

GTX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Garrett Motion (GTX) is expected to report on Feb 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.3%
avg realized: ±10.1%

Feb 20 '25Feb 20 '25confirmed±7.9%▲+5.18%×0.66

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±7.5%▲+10.63%×1.42

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±5.8%▲+3.39%×0.58

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±8.5%▲+19.34%×2.27

Feb 19 '26Feb 19 '26confirmed±7.0%▼−6.39%×0.92

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±10.3%▲+24.99%×2.42

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed—▼−3.81%—

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±11.3%▲+0.67%×0.06

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q3 FY26±11.3%▲+0.67%×0.06

Q2 FY26—▼−3.81%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.50OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

108+5%Nov 2020d0.101,082−1%0.10

26+13%Dec 1848d0.261010%0.26

221−2%Jan 1576d0.092,3830%0.09

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

130%Mar 19139d260%

140%Apr 16167d0.6422+5%0.64

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d108+5%1,082−1%0.10

Dec 1848d26+13%1010%0.26

Jan 1576d221−2%2,3830%0.09

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

10.43%as filednet margin · revenue −4.71% QoQ · +3.10% YoY

Revenue

$930M−4.71% QoQ

Gross profit

$206M−2.83% QoQ

22.15% margin

Operating income

$148M−0.67% QoQ

15.91% margin

Pre-tax income

$119M−5.56% QoQ

Net income

$97M−3.96% QoQ

10.43% margin

Cost of revenue

$724M−5.24% QoQ

Operating expenses

$58M−7.94% QoQ

Other expense

$29M

Tax

$22M−12.00% QoQ

Revenue$930M−4.71%

Gross profit

$206M−2.83%

22.15% margin

Operating income

$148M−0.67%

15.91% margin

Pre-tax income

$119M−5.56%

Net income

$97M−3.96%

10.43% margin

Cost of revenue

$724M−5.24%

Operating expenses

$58M−7.94%

Other expense

$29M

Tax$22M−12.00%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.95· ±3.3% vs ±1.7% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±3.3%7 of 19×1.95

NFPjobs report±3.2%4 of 10×1.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.1%7 of 19×1.83

CPROFcorporate profits±2.1%4 of 12×1.24

PPIproducer prices±1.7%3 of 10×1.02

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%8 of 10×0.93

FOMCrate decision±1.5%9 of 24×0.91

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.51 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	0.51	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.53	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.49	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod