How often does Group 1 Automotive move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GPINYSERetail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

268.19

pre 259.92 −1.92%

Pre-market09:19 ETdelayed

Open259.92Volume224,642Mkt cap$3.2BP/E8.15EPS31.90Div yield0.81%

Day259.92 – 259.9250%52-wk224.65 – 426.6617%

GPI

Group 1 Automotive Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

before open · in 85 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.83%

vs ±9.5% implied · ×0.19

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.75%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

386 managers

Top fund weight

0.11%

GPI weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is expected to report on Jan 28 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.5%
avg realized: ±5.5%

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±7.8%▲+2.04%×0.26

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±6.5%▼−0.31%×0.05

Oct 28 '25Oct 28 '25confirmed±8.2%▼−6.35%×0.78

Jan 29 '26Jan 29 '26confirmed±6.0%▼−8.39%×1.39

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±6.3%▲+2.19%×0.35

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±8.1%▼−17.11%×2.10

Q3 FY26Sep 8 '26confirmed—▼−6.37%—

Oct 28 '26Oct 28 '26confirmed±9.5%▼−1.83%×0.19

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26±9.5%▼−1.83%×0.19

Q3 FY26—▼−6.37%—

Q2 FY26±8.1%▼−17.11%×2.10

Q1 FY26±6.3%▲+2.19%×0.35

Jan '26±6.0%▼−8.39%×1.39

Oct '25±8.2%▼−6.35%×0.78

2 older reports

Jul '25±6.5%▼−0.31%×0.05

Apr '25±7.8%▲+2.04%×0.26

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 close

3.73OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

888−2%Nov 2016d0.959370%0.95

110%Dec 1844d2.754+33%2.75

2610%Jan 1572d0.952760%0.95

report · Jan 28 · before open · est.

1640%Apr 16163d440%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d888−2%9370%0.95

Dec 1844d110%4+33%2.75

Jan 1572d2610%2760%0.95

report · Jan 28 · before open · est.

Apr 16163d1640%440%3.73

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

1.91%as filednet margin · revenue +0.22% QoQ · −6.68% YoY

Revenue

$5.4B+0.22% QoQ

Gross profit

$855M−0.67% QoQ

15.84% margin

Operating income

$201M−1.18% QoQ

3.72% margin

Pre-tax income

$132M−2.16% QoQ

Net income

$103M−0.39% QoQ

1.91% margin

Cost of revenue

$4.5B+0.38% QoQ

Operating expenses

$654M−0.50% QoQ

SG&A $618M

Depreciation $31M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$69M

Tax

$29M−8.60% QoQ

Revenue$5.4B+0.22%

Gross profit

$855M−0.67%

15.84% margin

Operating income

$201M−1.18%

3.72% margin

Pre-tax income

$132M−2.16%

Net income

$103M−0.39%

1.91% margin

Cost of revenue

$4.5B+0.38%

Operating expenses

$654M−0.50%

SG&A $618M

Depreciation $31M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$69M

Tax$29M−8.60%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.68· ±2.7% vs ±1.6% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.7%14 of 24×1.68

GDPgross domestic product±2.5%4 of 19×1.59

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.3%5 of 19×1.46

PPIproducer prices±2.2%2 of 10×1.36

NFPjobs report±1.8%7 of 10×1.11

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%2 of 12×1.08

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%2 of 10×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 8.59 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Sep 8 '26 · confirmed	8.59	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	8.64	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	10.85	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod