What move does the options market price into Generac's report?

Implied ±20.4%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Generac move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GNRCNYSEMotors & Generators

Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

209.35

+7.31 · +3.62%

post 209.99 +0.31%

After hours19:05 ETdelayed

Open203.06Volume955,027Mkt cap$11.9BP/E47.62EPS4.41

Day203.06 – 212.3275%52-wk134.80 – 296.4447%

GNRC

Generac Holdings Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±20.4%implied · straddle

166.48252.08

spot 209.28exp Feb 19ATM strike 210ATM straddle 50.35IV 57%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 10

before open · in 99 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.94%

vs ±7.0% implied · ×0.56

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.27%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,002 managers

Top fund weight

0.30%

GNRC weight · XLI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

8 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Generac (GNRC) is expected to report on Feb 10 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.4%
avg realized: ±9.0%

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±6.8%▲+7.56%×1.11

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±9.0%▲+1.01%×0.11

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±8.2%▲+19.61%×2.40

Oct 29 '25Oct 29 '25confirmed±8.2%▼−4.89%×0.59

Feb 11 '26Feb 11 '26confirmed±7.6%▲+17.93%×2.34

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±8.5%▲+16.49%×1.93

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±11.3%▼−0.21%×0.02

Oct 28 '26Oct 28 '26confirmed±7.0%▲+3.94%×0.56

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26±7.0%▲+3.94%×0.56

Q2 FY26±11.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 close

2.03OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4 nearer expiries

297+10%Nov 63d0.52568+30%0.52

124+13%Nov 1310d0.20619+1%0.20

5,426+5%Nov 2017d1.314,157+5%1.31

393+1%Nov 2724d3.51112+15%3.51

2,4230%Dec 1845d0.753,213+3%0.75

5,996+3%Jan 1573d0.4712,672+1%0.47

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

4 nearer expiries

Nov 63d297+10%568+30%0.52

Nov 1310d124+13%619+1%0.20

Nov 2017d5,426+5%4,157

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±20.4%

Funds 4

XLI±0.1%

RSP±0.0%

VOO±0.0%

IVV±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

8.41%as filednet margin · revenue +10.33% QoQ · +16.19% YoY

Revenue

$1.3B+10.33% QoQ

Gross profit

$516M−1.11% QoQ

39.86% margin

Operating income

$161M−23.69% QoQ

12.40% margin

Pre-tax income

$143M−24.54% QoQ

Net income

$109M−23.82% QoQ

8.41% margin

Cost of revenue

$779M+19.49% QoQ

Operating expenses

$355M+14.16% QoQ

Marketing $175M

SG&A $88M

R&D $64M

Other operating $29M

Other expense

$17M

Tax

$34M−26.76% QoQ

Revenue$1.3B+10.33%

Gross profit

$516M−1.11%

39.86% margin

Operating income

$161M−23.69%

12.40% margin

Pre-tax income

$143M−24.54%

Net income

$109M−23.82%

8.41% margin

Cost of revenue

$779M+19.49%

Operating expenses

$355M+14.16%

Marketing $175M

SG&A $88M

R&D $64M

Other expense

$17M

Tax$34M−26.76%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.44· ±5.0% vs ±2.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.0%6 of 10×2.44

FOMCrate decision±4.0%15 of 24×1.95

CPIconsumer prices±2.7%5 of 10×1.31

PPIproducer prices±2.6%4 of 10×1.29

GDPgross domestic product±2.6%9 of 19×1.27

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%9 of 19×0.95

CPROFcorporate profits±1.6%5 of 12×0.80

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.83 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	1.83	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	2.40	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	1.24	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod