How often does Griffon move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GFFNYSEMetal Doors, Sash, Frames, Moldings & Trim

Griffon Corp (GFF) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

101.05

−1.87 · −1.82%

post 100.15 −0.89%

Closed16:34 ET

Open103.31Volume323,317Mkt cap$4.6BP/E22.51EPS4.45Div yield0.87%

Day100.15 – 103.310%52-wk64.35 – 108.3381%

GFF

Griffon Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 18

before open · in 16 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+9.86%

vs ±7.2% implied · ×1.37

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

12hAMZN · customerFor JPMorgan, Amazon, fighting AI bots like Meta Muse may not be a winning long-term strategy
3dLEN · customerLennar ups revolver to $3.795 billion, extends Class A maturity to Nov 2031

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.79%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

344 managers

Top fund weight

0.12%

GFF weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Griffon (GFF) is expected to report on Nov 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.6%
avg realized: ±8.3%

Nov 13 '24Nov 13 '24confirmed±8.9%▲+18.20%×2.05

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±7.5%▲+8.88%×1.19

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±7.6%▲+4.45%×0.58

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±7.0%▼−13.75%×1.96

Nov 19 '25Nov 19 '25confirmed±8.7%▲+3.57%×0.41

Q1 FY26Feb 5 '26confirmed±6.7%▲+5.71%×0.86

Q2 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±6.9%▼−2.05%×0.30

Q3 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±7.2%▲+9.86%×1.37

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±7.2%▲+9.86%×1.37

Q2 FY26±6.9%▼−2.05%×0.30

Q1 FY26±6.7%▲+5.71%×0.86

Nov '25±8.7%▲+3.57%×0.41

Aug '25±7.0%▼−13.75%×1.96

May '25±7.6%▲+4.45%×0.58

2 older reports

Feb '25±7.5%▲+8.88%×1.19

Nov '24±8.9%▲+18.20%×2.05

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

1.89OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

17+6%Nov 2018d9+29%

110%Dec 1846d0.101070%0.10

100%Jan 1574d0.3330+11%0.33

21+91%Apr 16165d1.05200%1.05

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d17+6%9+29%1.89

Dec 1846d110%1070%0.10

Jan 1574d100%30+11%0.33

Apr 16165d21+91%200%1.05

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

10.73%as filednet margin · revenue +14.11% QoQ · +7.04% YoY

Revenue

$481M+14.11% QoQ

Gross profit

$226M+17.74% QoQ

46.96% margin

Operating income

$116M+32.24% QoQ

23.99% margin

Pre-tax income

$92M+41.55% QoQ

Net income

$52M+167.27% QoQ

10.73% margin

Cost of revenue

$255M+11.07% QoQ

Operating expenses

$111M+5.65% QoQ

Other expense

$24M

Tax

$26M+42.26% QoQ

Revenue$481M+14.11%

Gross profit

$226M+17.74%

46.96% margin

Operating income

$116M+32.24%

23.99% margin

Pre-tax income

$92M+41.55%

Net income

$52M+167.27%

10.73% margin

Cost of revenue

$255M+11.07%

Operating expenses

$111M+5.65%

Other expense

$24M

Tax$26M+42.26%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.38· ±2.4% vs ±1.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.4%10 of 24×1.38

PPIproducer prices±1.6%6 of 11×0.93

NFPjobs report±1.6%6 of 10×0.90

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%11 of 20×0.73

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%5 of 12×0.72

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%6 of 11×0.72

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%12 of 20×0.70

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.14 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	1.14	—
Q2 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	0.85	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 5 '26 · confirmed	1.41	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod