What move does the options market price into GE Vernova's report?

Implied ±18.9%, either direction · provisional.

How often does GE Vernova move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GEVNYSEElectronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip)

GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

854.37

−33.48 · −3.77%

post 860.00 +0.66%

Closed19:46 ET

Open854.26Volume4.6MMkt cap$227.1BP/E22.37EPS38.45Div yield0.23%

Day845.51 – 875.7248%52-wk528.87 – 1,195.2450%

GEV

GE Vernova Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±18.9%implied · straddle

695.311,020.43

spot 857.87exp Feb 19ATM strike 860ATM straddle 191.25IV 51%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 27

before open · in 87 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.90%

vs ±5.3% implied · ×0.36

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dKEN · customerKenon subsidiary secures $825 million financing for Shore and Maryland plants
65dAIRJ · customerAirJoule’s (AIRJ) Water Technology Meets A Growing Data Center Crisis
71dFRMI · customerA Landmark Power Deal Puts Fermi’s (FRMI) Big Bet to the Test

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.13%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

3,472 managers

Top fund weight

5.48%

GEV weight · XLI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

GE Vernova (GEV) is expected to report on Jan 27 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.8%
avg realized: ±4.5%

Oct 23 '24Oct 23 '24confirmed±5.4%▲+1.25%×0.23

Jan 22 '25Jan 22 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+2.67%×0.47

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±7.1%▲+3.07%×0.43

Oct 22 '25Oct 22 '25confirmed±5.9%▼−1.59%×0.27

Jan 28 '26Jan 28 '26confirmed±4.8%▲+2.73%×0.57

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±5.1%▲+13.75%×2.68

Q2 FY26Jul 22 '26confirmed±6.9%▼−8.69%×1.25

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±5.3%▼−1.90%×0.36

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.3%▼−1.90%×0.36

Q2 FY26±6.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Oct 28 close

1.86OI · 10 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5 nearer expiries

4,430+6%Nov 65d1.393,183+12%1.39

2,317+7%Nov 1312d1.381,677+5%1.38

15,872+4%Nov 2019d1.4411,035+2%1.44

1,241+227%Nov 2726d2.51494+83%2.51

367+231%Dec 433d0.99369+151%0.99

20,055+20%Dec 1847d1.3414,935+11%1.34

37,533+1%Jan 1575d1.3827,194+1%1.38

report · Jan 27 · before open · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

5 nearer expiries

Nov 65d4,430+6%3,183+12%1.39

Nov 1312d2,317+7%1,677+5%1.38

Nov 2019d15,872+4%11,035

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±18.9%

Funds 4

XLI±1.0%

VUG±0.2%

FTC±0.1%

VOO±0.1%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

10.20%as filednet margin · revenue +13.85% QoQ · +26.81% YoY

Revenue

$12.6B+13.85% QoQ

Gross profit

$3.1B+31.65% QoQ

24.58% margin

Operating income

$1.4B+113.48% QoQ

11.03% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.8B+92.65% QoQ

Net income

$1.3B+98.61% QoQ

10.20% margin

Cost of revenue

$9.5B+9.06% QoQ

Operating expenses

$1.7B+0.35% QoQ

SG&A $1.4B

R&D $358M

Tax

$493M+78.62% QoQ

Other income

$388M+42.65% QoQ

Revenue$12.6B+13.85%

Gross profit

$3.1B+31.65%

24.58% margin

Operating income

$1.4B+113.48%

11.03% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.8B+92.65%

Net income

$1.3B+98.61%

10.20% margin

Cost of revenue

$9.5B+9.06%

Operating expenses

$1.7B+0.35%

SG&A $1.4B

R&D $358M

Other income$388M+42.65%

Tax$493M+78.62%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.49· ±3.6% vs ±2.4% · 20 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.6%13 of 20×1.49

GDPgross domestic product±2.9%8 of 19×1.18

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%7 of 10×1.07

CPROFcorporate profits±2.3%5 of 12×0.97

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.1%9 of 19×0.85

NFPjobs report±1.6%4 of 10×0.65

PPIproducer prices±1.5%4 of 10×0.63

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.81 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	4.81	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 22 '26 · confirmed	2.47	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	17.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod