How often does Greif move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GEFNYSEMetal Shipping Barrels, Drums, Kegs & Pails

Greif, Inc (GEF) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

81.21

pre 79.00 −2.77%

Pre-market06:15 ETdelayed

Open80.20Volume396,565Mkt cap$3.8BDiv yield2.90%

Day79.00 – 80.200%52-wk54.10 – 89.8970%

GEF

Greif, Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 5 days

est.

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.87%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 31 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.57%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

280 managers

Top fund weight

0.07%

GEF weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Greif (GEF) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.8%
avg realized: ±2.1%

Dec 5 '24Dec 5 '24confirmed±3.7%▼−2.35%×0.63

Mar 3 '25Mar 3 '25confirmed±7.1%▼−3.04%×0.43

Jun 9 '25Jun 9 '25confirmed±3.4%▼−1.78%×0.52

Aug 29 '25Aug 29 '25confirmed±4.8%▼−2.52%×0.53

Nov 10 '25Nov 10 '25confirmed±4.3%▲+1.84%×0.43

Feb 2 '26Feb 2 '26confirmed±5.6%▲+0.93%×0.17

Q2 FY26May 1 '26confirmed±5.0%▲+2.44%×0.49

Q3 FY26Jul 31 '26confirmed—▼−0.87%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▼−0.87%—

Q2 FY26±5.0%▲+2.44%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.85OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

11+175%Nov 2016d13+18%

1—Dec 1844d0.254—0.25

2810%Jan 1572d0.99283+9%0.99

20%Apr 16163d0.297+40%0.29

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d11+175%13+18%0.85

Dec 1844d1—4—0.25

Jan 1572d2810%283+9%0.99

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.00%as filednet margin · revenue +8.65% QoQ · +3.53% YoY

Revenue

$1.2B+8.65% QoQ

Gross profit

$273M+10.36% QoQ

23.39% margin

Operating income

$108M+204.80% QoQ

9.26% margin

Pre-tax income

$100M+358.26% QoQ

Net income

$82M+400.61% QoQ

7.00% margin

Cost of revenue

$893M+8.14% QoQ

Operating expenses

$165M−22.16% QoQ

SG&A $150M

Other operating $15M

Other expense

$8M

Tax

$18M+203.39% QoQ

Revenue$1.2B+8.65%

Gross profit

$273M+10.36%

23.39% margin

Operating income

$108M+204.80%

9.26% margin

Pre-tax income

$100M+358.26%

Net income

$82M+400.61%

7.00% margin

Cost of revenue

$893M+8.14%

Operating expenses

$165M−22.16%

SG&A $150M

Other operating $15M

Other expense

$8M

Tax$18M+203.39%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 06:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.34· ±1.6% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.6%10 of 24×1.34

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%12 of 19×1.13

PPIproducer prices±1.2%6 of 10×1.02

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%10 of 19×0.95

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%9 of 12×0.79

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%6 of 10×0.72

NFPjobs report±0.6%6 of 10×0.52

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 3.40 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Jul 31 '26 · confirmed	3.40	—
Q2 FY26	May 1 '26 · confirmed	0.55	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod