How often does Greenbrier Companies move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GBXNYSERailroad Equipment

Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

41.53

−0.69 · −1.63%

post 42.16 +1.51%

Closed16:35 ET

Open42.20Volume929,160Mkt cap$1.3BP/E16.53EPS2.55Div yield3.13%

Day41.51 – 42.6657%52-wk36.35 – 58.3726%

GBX

Greenbrier Companies Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 7

after close · in 64 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−2.14%

vs ±9.0% implied · ×0.24

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 26 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.68%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

270 managers

Top fund weight

0.05%

GBX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Greenbrier Companies (GBX) is expected to report on Jan 7 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.9%
avg realized: ±7.4%

Jan 8 '25Jan 8 '25confirmed±8.4%▲+3.81%×0.45

Apr 7 '25Apr 7 '25confirmed±13.1%▼−11.42%×0.87

Jul 1 '25Jul 1 '25confirmed±9.7%▲+21.09%×2.16

Oct 28 '25Oct 28 '25confirmed±11.5%▼−7.20%×0.63

Jan 8 '26Jan 8 '26confirmed±9.1%▼−10.27%×1.13

Q2 FY26Apr 7 '26confirmed±9.3%▲+2.90%×0.31

Q3 FY26Jul 1 '26confirmed±9.0%▼−0.71%×0.08

Q4 FY26Oct 26 '26confirmed±9.0%▼−2.14%×0.24

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q4 FY26±9.0%▼−2.14%×0.24

Q3 FY26±9.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.41OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

386+32%Nov 2016d0.251,525+48%0.25

675+11%Dec 1844d0.99684−1%0.99

report · Jan 7 · after close · est.

205+15%Mar 19135d499+11%

1350%Apr 16163d0.462910%0.46

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d386+32%1,525+48%0.25

Dec 1844d675+11%684−1%0.99

report · Jan 7 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d205+15%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

2.18%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +2.52% QoQ · −22.19% YoY

Revenue

$591M+2.52% QoQ

Gross profit

$80M−1.60% QoQ

13.50% margin

Operating income

$26M−20.06% QoQ

4.31% margin

Pre-tax income

$6M−59.74% QoQ

Net income

$13M−26.29% QoQ

2.18% margin

Cost of revenue

$511M+3.19% QoQ

Operating expenses

$54M+10.37% QoQ

Other expense

$19M

Tax

$400,000−86.67% QoQ

Revenue$591M+2.52%

Gross profit

$80M−1.60%

13.50% margin

Operating income

$26M−20.06%

4.31% margin

Pre-tax income

$6M−59.74%

Net income

$13M−26.29%

2.18% margin

Cost of revenue

$511M+3.19%

Operating expenses

$54M+10.37%

Other expense

$19M

Tax$400,000−86.67%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Aug 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.23· ±1.9% vs ±1.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.9%5 of 10×1.23

FOMCrate decision±1.7%10 of 24×1.09

CPROFcorporate profits±1.5%7 of 12×0.96

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%2 of 10×0.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%8 of 19×0.85

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%9 of 19×0.78

PPIproducer prices±1.1%5 of 10×0.70

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.28 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Oct 26 '26 · confirmed	0.28	—
Q3 FY26	Jul 1 '26 · confirmed	0.60	—
Q2 FY26	Apr 7 '26 · confirmed	0.47	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod