FTCINasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

FTC Solar, Inc. (FTCI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.23

−0.15 · −10.60%

Regular session12:14 ET

Open1.22Volume97.3MMkt cap$25.2M

Day1.15 – 1.2962%52-wk1.28 – 12.750%

FTCI

FTC Solar, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 15

before open · in 130 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.83%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

28.00%

of FTCI revenue · Undisclosed customer (approx. 28% of total revenue)

customerFTCI 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.48%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

34 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

FTCI weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

FTC Solar (FTCI) is expected to report on Mar 15 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

2 reports

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±39.0%▼−4.22%×0.11

Q3 FY26Nov 4 '26confirmed—▼−4.83%—

quarterimplied−40%0+40%realized×

Q3 FY26—▼−4.83%—

Q2 FY26±39.0%▼−4.22%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.03OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2140%Jan 1571d0.862480%0.86

report · Mar 15 · before open · est.

100%Apr 16162d329+3%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1571d2140%2480%0.86

report · Mar 15 · before open · est.

Apr 16162d100%329+3%0.03

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

20.42%as filednet margin · revenue +25.45% QoQ · +26.06% YoY

Revenue$33M+25.45%

Gross profit$2M5.79%+185.09%

Operating income−$9M−26.03%+37.79%

Pre-tax income$7M+125.69%

Net income$7M20.42%+124.71%

Cost of revenue$31M+8.88%

Operating expenses$10M−9.15%

Tax$210,000−3.23%

Other income$15M+217.24%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.06· ±5.6% vs ±5.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±5.6%4 of 10×1.06

CPIconsumer prices±5.1%2 of 10×0.97

NFPjobs report±4.7%5 of 10×0.88

FOMCrate decision±4.2%11 of 24×0.80

GDPgross domestic product±4.0%11 of 19×0.77

CPROFcorporate profits±3.9%8 of 12×0.75

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.9%7 of 19×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±5.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.54 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.54	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-1.69	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.72	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod