Fossil Group, Inc. · Brief

Next report

12 days

Nov 12 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±7.0%implied · report alone

6.187.10

straddle ±18.2%

spot 6.64exp Nov 20ATM strike 7ATM straddle 1.42IV 107%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

—≥ implied

Nov 7 '24—▼−8.66%—

Mar 12 '25—▲+29.13%—

May 14 '25—▲+15.87%—

Aug 13 '25—▲+29.83%—

Q3 FY25—▼−9.29%—

Q1 FY26—▲+16.50%—

May 13 '26—▲+6.10%—

Q2 FY25±15.9%▲+5.88%×0.37

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY25±15.9%▲+5.88%×0.37

May '26—▲+6.10%—

Q1 FY26—▲+16.50%—

Q3 FY25—▼−9.29%—

Aug '25—▲+29.83%—

May '25—▲+15.87%—

2 older reports

Mar '25—▲+29.13%—

Nov '24—▼−8.66%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 12 report · est.

Bull2

112managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

+28.06%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear1

6 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

FOSL report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 29impliedImplied move: ±18.3% into Nov 12 earnings (Oct 29 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.