How often does Forestar move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

FORNYSEReal Estate

Forestar Group Inc. (FOR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

23.76

pre 23.49 −4.32%

Pre-market19:19 ETdelayed

Open24.37Volume285,607Mkt cap$1.2BP/E7.03EPS3.34

Day23.49 – 24.370%52-wk22.81 – 32.067%

FOR

Forestar Group Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 19

after close · in 76 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.43%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5dDHI · supplierHorton posts fiscal 2026 net income $2,889.4 million, Q4 $741.8 million; raises dividend to $0.50

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.76%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

185 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

FOR weight · VNQ

N-PORTJul 31 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Forestar (FOR) is expected to report on Jan 19 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.5%
avg realized: ±5.1%

Jan 21 '25Jan 21 '25confirmed±11.7%▼−9.41%×0.81

Apr 17 '25Apr 17 '25confirmed±5.7%▼−0.58%×0.10

Jul 22 '25Jul 22 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+8.20%×1.36

Oct 28 '25Oct 28 '25confirmed±7.7%▲+7.29%×0.95

Jan 20 '26Jan 20 '26confirmed±13.8%▼−5.04%×0.36

Q2 FY26Apr 21 '26confirmed±18.5%▲+1.06%×0.06

Q3 FY26Jul 21 '26confirmed±9.8%▼−4.18%×0.43

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed—▼−3.43%—

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26—▼−3.43%—

Q3 FY26±9.8%▼−4.18%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.26OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

260%Nov 2016d0.211240%0.21

71+6%Dec 1844d0.41174+1%0.41

report · Jan 19 · after close · est.

26+225%Feb 19107d100+20%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d260%1240%0.21

Dec 1844d71+6%174+1%0.41

report · Jan 19 · after close · est.

Feb 19107d26+225%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

8.78%as filednet margin · revenue +9.04% QoQ · +4.62% YoY

Revenue$410M+9.04%

Pre-tax income$49M+10.93%

Net income$36M8.78%+11.80%

Tax$13M+8.55%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.04· ±1.8% vs ±1.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.8%10 of 24×1.04

NFPjobs report±1.7%6 of 10×0.98

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.4%9 of 19×0.80

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%5 of 10×0.78

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%10 of 19×0.64

PPIproducer prices±1.1%6 of 10×0.62

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%7 of 12×0.47

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.70 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Jul 21 '26 · confirmed	0.70	—
Q2 FY26	Apr 21 '26 · confirmed	0.63	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod