FLDNasdaqFinance Services

Fold Holdings, Inc. (FLD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

0.52

−0.01 · −2.75%

post 0.55 +5.81%

Closed15:59 ET

Open0.56Volume113,576Mkt cap$23.2M

Day0.55 – 0.560%52-wk0.36 – 3.606%

FLD

Fold Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 6 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.09%

vs ±77.6% implied · ×0.04

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 11 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

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News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−10.30%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

46 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

FLD weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Fold (FLD) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 11 '26confirmed±77.6%▲+3.09%×0.04

quarterimplied−80%0+80%realized×

Q2 FY26±77.6%▲+3.09%×0.04

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 16 close

0.03OI · 2 expiries · Oct 16 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

360%Nov 2017d1,4000%

910%Feb 19108d0.061,6400%0.06

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d360%1,4000%0.03

Feb 19108d910%1,6400%0.06

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−158.48%as filednet margin · revenue +8.90% QoQ · −25.51% YoY

Revenue$6M+8.90%

Gross profit$6M100.00%+8.90%

Operating income−$8M−127.57%+0.79%

Pre-tax income−$10M+66.91%

Net income−$10M−158.48%+66.91%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$14M+3.25%

Tax$0−100.00%

Other expense−$2M+91.17%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.24· ±6.0% vs ±4.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±6.0%4 of 10×1.24

CPIconsumer prices±5.2%5 of 10×1.08

CPROFcorporate profits±4.7%2 of 12×0.98

PPIproducer prices±4.6%4 of 10×0.96

GDPgross domestic product±4.2%4 of 18×0.88

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.6%5 of 18×0.74

FOMCrate decision±2.4%8 of 13×0.50

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±4.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.19 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.19	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.59	—
Q3 FY25	—	0.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod