FICO as of Oct 31 · 16:17 ET

FICONYSEServices-Business Services, NEC

Fair Isaac Corp · Brief

Next report

4 days

Nov 4 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±5.4%implied · report alone

672.72749.74

straddle ±8.2%

spot 711.23exp Nov 6ATM strike 710ATM straddle 68.65IV 87%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.4%
avg realized: ±4.8%

Nov 6 '24±7.2%▲+4.09%×0.57

Feb 4 '25±8.5%▲+2.11%×0.25

Apr 29 '25±7.6%▲+1.44%×0.19

Jul 30 '25±6.8%▼−5.96%×0.88

Nov 5 '25±8.1%▲+2.80%×0.34

Jan 28 '26±8.8%▼−1.57%×0.18

Q2 FY26±10.2%▲+3.27%×0.32

Q3 FY26±10.4%▼−17.01%×1.64

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±10.4%▼−17.01%×1.64

Q2 FY26±10.2%▲+3.27%×0.32

Jan '26±8.8%▼−1.57%×0.18

Nov '25±8.1%▲+2.80%×0.34

Jul '25±6.8%▼−5.96%×0.88

Apr '25±7.6%▲+1.44%×0.19

2 older reports

Feb '25±8.5%▲+2.11%×0.25

Nov '24±7.2%▲+4.09%×0.57

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

852managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

10tracked funds holding FICON-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2 of 3

92.00%of revenue from the largest disclosed banking industry customerSEC filings

15 of 24of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

FICO report session

Customers 2

EFXEquifax×0.33 HGVHilton Grand Vacations×0.21

× = co-movement · max 499dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±12.3% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.