How often does First Bancorp move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

FBPNYSEState Commercial Banks

First Bancorp (FBP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

26.00

+0.07 · +0.27%

post 26.01 +0.03%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open25.85Volume1.3MMkt cap$3.9BP/E10.84EPS2.40Div yield3.01%

Day25.85 – 26.01100%52-wk18.65 – 29.6767%

FBP

First Bancorp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 26

before open · in 81 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.11%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.15%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

306 managers

Top fund weight

0.22%

FBP weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

First Bancorp (FBP) is expected to report on Jan 26 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±11.5%
avg realized: ±3.3%

Oct 23 '24Oct 23 '24confirmed±6.9%▼−5.39%×0.79

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+5.82%×1.02

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±5.6%▲+0.10%×0.02

Jul 22 '25Jul 22 '25confirmed±5.1%▼−2.42%×0.47

Q3 FY25Oct 23 '25confirmed±19.5%▼−2.63%×0.13

Jan 27 '26Jan 27 '26confirmed±20.8%▲+5.22%×0.25

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±17.1%▼−1.54%×0.09

Oct 22 '26Oct 22 '26confirmed—▼−0.11%—

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Oct '26—▼−0.11%—

Q1 FY26±17.1%▼−1.54%×0.09

Jan '26±20.8%▲+5.22%×0.25

Q3 FY25±19.5%▼−2.63%×0.13

Jul '25±5.1%▼−2.42%×0.47

Apr '25±5.6%▲+0.10%×0.02

2 older reports

Jan '25±5.7%▲+5.82%×1.02

Oct '24±6.9%▼−5.39%×0.79

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Nov 5 close

2.02OI · 1 expiry · Nov 5 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

111+1%Dec 1842d550%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1842d111+1%550%2.02

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

36.95%as filednet margin · revenue −1.79% QoQ · +4.59% YoY

Revenue$260M−1.79%

Pre-tax income$115M−4.11%

Net income$96M36.95%−0.04%

Tax$19M−20.39%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.60· ±2.0% vs ±1.3% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.0%11 of 24×1.60

PPIproducer prices±1.0%4 of 10×0.81

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.8%8 of 19×0.68

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%8 of 12×0.63

NFPjobs report±0.8%5 of 10×0.63

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%9 of 19×0.63

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%4 of 10×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.63 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.63	—
Q2 FY26	—	0.62	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	0.57	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 23 '25 · confirmed	0.63	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod