How often does FB Financial move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

FBKNYSEState Commercial Banks

FB Financial Corp (FBK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

56.17

+1.40 · +2.55%

Regular session13:36 ET

Open55.65Volume605,187Mkt cap$2.7BP/E12.24EPS4.59Div yield1.49%

Day55.65 – 56.4664%52-wk48.87 – 62.6653%

FBK

FB Financial Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 20

after close · in 77 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.21%

vs ±5.1% implied · ×0.83

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 13 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.22%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

292 managers

Top fund weight

0.08%

FBK weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

FB Financial (FBK) is expected to report on Jan 20 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.1%
avg realized: ±3.0%

Jan 21 '25Jan 21 '25confirmed±10.0%▲+2.21%×0.22

Apr 14 '25Apr 14 '25confirmed±7.3%▼−1.97%×0.27

Jul 14 '25Jul 14 '25confirmed±5.1%▼−4.57%×0.90

Oct 14 '25Oct 14 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+4.07%×0.78

Jan 21 '26Jan 21 '26confirmed±7.8%▼−1.41%×0.18

Q1 FY26Apr 13 '26confirmed±3.5%▼−2.30%×0.65

Q2 FY26Jul 13 '26confirmed±4.7%▲+3.23%×0.68

Q3 FY26Oct 13 '26confirmed±5.1%▼−4.21%×0.83

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.1%▼−4.21%×0.83

Q2 FY26±4.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

2.50OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

130%Nov 2016d0.02588−34%0.02

210%Jan 1572d0.082580%0.08

report · Jan 20 · after close · est.

150%Apr 16163d60%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d130%588−34%0.02

Jan 1572d210%2580%0.08

report · Jan 20 · after close · est.

Apr 16163d150%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

34.50%as filednet margin · revenue −0.15% QoQ · +0.35% YoY

Revenue$174M−0.15%

Pre-tax income$77M+5.29%

Net income$60M34.50%+2.63%

Tax$17M+16.05%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 13:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.39· ±2.0% vs ±1.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.0%11 of 24×1.39

PPIproducer prices±1.6%5 of 10×1.13

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%4 of 10×0.81

NFPjobs report±1.1%4 of 10×0.77

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%10 of 19×0.68

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%8 of 12×0.57

GDPgross domestic product±0.7%13 of 19×0.50

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.20 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 13 '26 · confirmed	1.20	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 13 '26 · confirmed	1.13	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 13 '26 · confirmed	1.10	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod