How often does First Business Financial Services move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

FBIZNasdaqState Commercial Banks

First Business Financial Services, Inc. (FBIZ) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

78.34

+1.66 · +2.16%

Regular session14:28 ET

Open77.61Volume89,127Mkt cap$638.6MP/E11.52EPS6.80Div yield1.71%

Day77.61 – 79.1647%52-wk48.55 – 78.32100%

FBIZ

First Business Financial Services, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

after close · in 85 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.22%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

140 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

FBIZ weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

First Business Financial Services (FBIZ) is expected to report on Jan 28 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.7%
avg realized: ±3.4%

Jan 30 '25Jan 30 '25confirmed±8.5%▲+4.26%×0.50

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±8.7%▼−4.09%×0.47

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±9.6%▼−5.67%×0.59

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±8.7%▲+3.03%×0.35

Jan 29 '26Jan 29 '26confirmed±8.6%▲+0.40%×0.05

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±9.3%▼−2.20%×0.24

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±7.3%▲+4.39%×0.60

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed—▲+2.22%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+2.22%—

Q2 FY26±7.3%+4.39%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 28 close

—OI · 2 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

0—Dec 1844d0.0010%0.00

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

240%Mar 19135d0—

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1844d0—10%0.00

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d240%0——

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

34.88%as filednet margin · revenue +1.70% QoQ · +6.69% YoY

Revenue$48M+1.70%

Pre-tax income$19M+15.85%

Net income$17M34.88%+6.37%

Tax$3M+137.42%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 14:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.64· ±2.3% vs ±1.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.3%12 of 24×1.64

PPIproducer prices±1.1%5 of 10×0.79

NFPjobs report±1.1%3 of 10×0.78

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%7 of 19×0.62

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%7 of 12×0.55

GDPgross domestic product±0.7%9 of 19×0.49

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%4 of 10×0.44

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.95 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	1.95	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	1.84	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	1.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod