How often does Expedia move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EXPENasdaqTransportation Services

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

318.02

pre 294.10 −6.90%

Pre-market07:28 ETdelayed

Open300.61Volume2.4MMkt cap$34.3BP/E17.80EPS16.52Div yield0.64%

Day294.10 – 304.000%52-wk184.28 – 341.5170%

EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

after close · in 98 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmedNov 3 close

Implied vs realized

Linked news

2dULCC · supplierFrontier appoints Michael Delehant EVP chief operating officer, start Nov. 30, 2026
2dCHH · customerChoice Hotels posts Q3 net income $57,912 thousand, diluted EPS $1.28
6dCUZ · supplierCousins Properties posts Q3 net income available to common stockholders $17,000 thousand, EPS $0.10

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.20%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

1,134 managers

Top fund weight

0.73%

EXPE weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Expedia (EXPE) is expected to report on Feb 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.3%
avg realized: ±8.7%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±8.0%▲+3.81%×0.48

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±8.3%▲+17.27%×2.08

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±7.7%▼−7.30%×0.95

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±9.3%▲+4.08%×0.44

Nov 6 '25Nov 6 '25confirmed±7.9%▲+17.55%×2.22

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±9.7%▼−6.41%×0.66

Q1 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±7.4%▼−9.02%×1.22

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±8.5%▼−4.09%×0.48

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.5%▼−4.09%×0.48

Q1 FY26±7.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Nov 3 close

1.33OI · 10 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6 nearer expiries

2,092+78%Nov 61d0.832,529+10%0.83

487+7%Nov 138d2.21220+4%2.21

4,852+7%Nov 2015d1.503,231−13%1.50

531+5%Nov 2722d3.74142+1%3.74

34+1600%Dec 429d11.333—11.33

0—Dec 1136d0.008—0.00

4,996+3%Dec 1843d1.084,647+1%1.08

14,545+9%Jan 1571d2.276,408+1%2.27

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

6 nearer expiries

Nov 61d2,092+78%2,529+10%0.83

Nov 138d487+7%220+4%2.21

Nov 2015d4,852+7%3,231

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

21.04%as filednet margin · revenue +14.44% QoQ · +11.92% YoY

Revenue

$4.9B+14.44% QoQ

Gross profit

$4.9B+14.44% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$1.3B+65.75% QoQ

26.85% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.3B+26.87% QoQ

Net income

$1.0B+18.74% QoQ

21.04% margin

Operating expenses

$3.6B+2.76% QoQ

Marketing $2.4B

SG&A $528M

Depreciation $224M

Other operating $467M

Other expense

$23M

Tax

$264M+73.68% QoQ

Revenue$4.9B+14.44%

Gross profit

$4.9B+14.44%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$1.3B+65.75%

26.85% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.3B+26.87%

Net income

$1.0B+18.74%

21.04% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$3.6B+2.76%

Marketing $2.4B

SG&A $528M

Depreciation $224M

Other expense

$23M

Tax$264M+73.68%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 07:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.16· ±2.1% vs ±1.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.1%5 of 10×1.16

CPIconsumer prices±2.0%6 of 10×1.08

PPIproducer prices±1.8%5 of 10×0.97

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%4 of 12×0.91

FOMCrate decision±1.7%12 of 24×0.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%11 of 19×0.89

GDPgross domestic product±1.6%7 of 19×0.89

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 8.42 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	8.42	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	7.16	—
Q1 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	-0.05	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod