What move does the options market price into Expedia's report?

Implied ±8.4%, either direction.

How often does Expedia move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EXPENasdaqTransportation Services

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

319.95

+34.18 · +11.96%

Regular session11:41 ET

Open292.16Volume2.4MMkt cap$34.3BP/E19.37EPS16.52Div yield0.64%

Day289.50 – 321.9894%52-wk184.28 – 341.5186%

EXPE

Expedia Group, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.4%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±8.7%·×0.96·fair

261.90309.64

straddle ±8.8%

spot 285.77exp Nov 6ATM strike 285ATM straddle 29.70IV 144%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.09%

vs ±8.5% implied · ×0.48

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dULCC · supplierFrontier appoints Michael Delehant EVP chief operating officer, start Nov. 30, 2026
1dCHH · customerChoice Hotels posts Q3 net income $57,912 thousand, diluted EPS $1.28
5dCUZ · supplierCousins Properties posts Q3 net income available to common stockholders $17,000 thousand, EPS $0.10

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.20%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,134 managers

Top fund weight

0.73%

EXPE weight · XLY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Expedia (EXPE) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.3%
avg realized: ±8.7%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±8.0%▲+3.81%×0.48

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±8.3%▲+17.27%×2.08

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±7.7%▼−7.30%×0.95

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±9.3%▲+4.08%×0.44

Nov 6 '25Nov 6 '25confirmed±7.9%▲+17.55%×2.22

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±9.7%▼−6.41%×0.66

Q1 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±7.4%▼−9.02%×1.22

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±8.5%▼−4.09%×0.48

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.5%▼−4.09%×0.48

Q1 FY26±7.4%▼−9.02%×1.22

Feb '26±9.7%▼−6.41%×0.66

Nov '25±7.9%▲+17.55%×2.22

Aug '25±9.3%▲+4.08%×0.44

May '25±7.7%▼−7.30%×0.95

2 older reports

Feb '25±8.3%▲+17.27%×2.08

Nov '24±8.0%▲+3.81%×0.48

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.51OI · 10 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,177−1%Nov 62d2,300+5%

455+8%Nov 139d2.15212+37%2.15

4,551+3%Nov 2016d1.223,720+9%1.22

508+2109%Nov 2723d3.60141+60%3.60

34+1600%Dec 430d11.333—11.33

5 later expiries

0—Dec 1137d—0——

4,8720%Dec 1844d1.064,5840%1.06

14,545+9%Jan 1572d2.276,408+1%2.27

8,3490%Mar 19135d1.336,2900%1.33

2590%Apr 16163d5.89440%5.89

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 62d1,177−1%2,300+5%0.51

Nov 139d455+8%212+37%2.15

Nov 2016d4,551+3%3,720+9%1.22

Nov 2723d508+2109%141+60%3.60

Dec 430d34+1600%3—11.33

5 later expiries

Dec 1137d0—0——

Dec 1844d4,8720%4,5840%1.06

Jan 1572d14,545+9%6,408+1%2.27

Mar 19135d8,3490%6,2900%1.33

Apr 16163d2590%440%5.89

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.8%

Funds 4

XLY±0.1%

RSP±0.0%

VUG±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

Suppliers 1

ULCC±5.9%×0.66

Customers 2

H±3.4%×0.38

CHH±2.4%×0.27

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

20.28%as filednet margin · revenue +25.95% QoQ · +13.97% YoY

Revenue

$4.3B+25.95% QoQ

Gross profit

$4.3B+25.95% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$800M+218.73% QoQ

18.54% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.0B+4008.00% QoQ

Net income

$875M+7391.67% QoQ

20.28% margin

Operating expenses

$3.5B+10.71% QoQ

Marketing $2.3B

SG&A $529M

Depreciation $228M

Other operating $422M

Tax

$152M+310.81% QoQ

Other income

$227M+200.44% QoQ

Revenue$4.3B+25.95%

Gross profit

$4.3B+25.95%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$800M+218.73%

18.54% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.0B+4008.00%

Net income

$875M+7391.67%

20.28% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$3.5B+10.71%

Marketing $2.3B

SG&A $529M

Depreciation $228M

Other income$227M+200.44%

Tax$152M+310.81%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 11:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.16· ±2.1% vs ±1.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.1%5 of 10×1.16

CPIconsumer prices±2.0%6 of 10×1.08

PPIproducer prices±1.8%5 of 10×0.97

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%4 of 12×0.91

FOMCrate decision±1.7%12 of 24×0.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%11 of 19×0.89

GDPgross domestic product±1.6%7 of 19×0.89

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 7.16 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	7.16	—
Q1 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	-0.05	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod