Evolution Petroleum Corp · Brief

Next report

10 days

Nov 10 · before openest.Q1 FY27

Earnings

Expected move

No implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.0%
avg realized: ±3.8%

Nov 12 '24±9.3%▲+3.99%×0.43

Feb 11 '25±8.0%▼−1.32%×0.16

May 13 '25±12.0%▲+1.12%×0.09

Sep 16 '25±11.3%▼−0.54%×0.05

Nov 12 '25±10.2%▼−4.36%×0.43

Q2 FY26±20.1%▲+5.50%×0.27

Q3 FY26±9.8%▼−12.11%×1.23

Sep 15 '26±39.1%▼−1.63%×0.04

quarterimplied−40%0+40%realized×

Sep '26±39.1%▼−1.63%×0.04

Q3 FY26±9.8%▼−12.11%×1.23

Q2 FY26±20.1%▲+5.50%×0.27

Nov '25±10.2%▼−4.36%×0.43

Sep '25±11.3%▼−0.54%×0.05

May '25±12.0%▲+1.12%×0.09

2 older reports

Feb '25±8.0%▼−1.32%×0.16

Nov '24±9.3%▲+3.99%×0.43

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 10 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

18disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings

116managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

9 of 25of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

7 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

EPM report session

Suppliers 2

OVVOvintiv USA×0.62 EOGEOG Resources×0.43

Customers 3

PSXPhillips 66×0.40 TRGPTarga Resources×0.37 EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P×0.21

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 27impliedImplied move: ±23.4% into Nov 10 earnings (Oct 27 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.